Tip Idol III


1st Prize: Tipping Contract worth £300+ or £100 Cash (+ Stunning Trophy)
2nd Prize: £50
3rd Prize: £25


Tip Idol III – Week 1 Saturday January 22nd

Starts Saturday 22nd January
12:45 - Lingfield - Songkran 1/2 pt e.w
Won a C3 in March 2021 off 85 & today races off 13 lb lower & down in class to C4. The Gelding has placed 2/5 runs at the track & has won 4/7 over this trip. LTO the selection raced over 1m 1 f & and looked in need of this step back in trip to 1m 2f. Promising claimer Harry Davies take a further 7lb off.
14:35 Haydock - Sam Brown 1/2 pt e.w
Won a Novice Chase at Haydock back in Jan 2021 off 148 and today races off 147 which is 1 lb below it’s LWM, in addition to this the selection is 2/2 when racing in January & 4/2 when racing on Soft ground. A J Honeyball is in great form with a winning strike rate of over 30 % in past 30 days.
15:10 Haydock - Potter Hedger 1/2 e.w
Won this race 12 months ago off 2lb heavier than todays mark of 125 & this will be its first run since undergoing a Wind Op. Todays return of blinkers & favoured ground conditions should see an improved effort than its run LTO. The trainer & jockey are in great form the past 30 days.
235 Haydock – LORD DU MESNIL

Applying some key trends of:

A run in the last 36 days
At least 8 previous chase starts and 2 chase wins
At least 2 runs this season
A winning previous run at Haydock
At least 6 runs between 2 ¾ miles and 3 and ¼ miles

Leaves just 2 horses from the 10 strong field, Sam’s Adventure and Lord Du Mesnil. It is the latter who I think has a great chance in this race, bouncing back to form in the Rowland Meyrick on Boxing Day at Wetherby this test of stamina is sure to be right up his street and as a previous Course and Distance winner which is so important at Haydock, I think will take all the beating. Trainer Richard Hobson and Jockey Kielan Woods are in red hot form operating at 25% and 40% respectively in the last 2 weeks and that strengthens the bet further. With the class act Royal Pagaille leaving 4 of the other runners out of the handicap; assuming he completes I can’t see him out of the frame.
0.5 e/w.

I was on this horse the last day each way and just missed out on collecting. The horse that beat it has since run well enough in the Lanzarote last week and he looks sure to go close again here. Had an excellent campaign last season before being over the top at Warwick when Hobbs yard was woefully out of form, and he was one of the few shining lights for the stable. May have needed that first run back and with the Hobbs yard in much better form of late looks a good bet that I can’t see out the frame.
0.5 e/w

200 Haydock – NAVAJO PASS
Tommy’s Oscar should take the world of beating in this but at around 8/11 I can’t be recommending it although I can see it going off much shorter and hosing up as this could be its big day. I can’t have the 12-year-old Hunters Call in opposition as the 2nd favourite and therefore think there is some value on Navajo Pass to pick up the pieces. With Course and Distance form winning this last year beating the dual Champion Hurdle winner Buveur D’air he can bounce back after two poor runs at Sandown and looks most likely to ask Tommy’s Oscar the biggest questions.
0.5 e/w

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