The Open 2015

My quest to actually tip and back The Open Golf winner has been a long and expensive journey that has so far proved fruitless but I did at least manage to get an each way bet up on the runner-up last year (Sergio Garcia) and this has given me the confidence to try again.

You'll probably all be aware that golf isn't a sport I specialise in and these four intrepid golfers will now resemble a bunch of cursed sportsmen giving a 4 day (more likely 2) exhibition of hooking, slicing and 3 putting! BUT golf is a game that is even better when you've got money on it and if you're lucky enough to have a player challenging for the title on Sunday night it can be one of the most exciting, exhilarating gambling experiences you can get..........or so I'm told!

So, if you want a rollercoaster ride (heading downhill fast, screaming, waving your hands in the air, going around the bend and eventually feeling sick) over the next four days then please follow me and my quartet but if you'd prefer to go your own way (I can't say I blame you) then you can leave your comment below pointing out where I have gone wrong along with the man/men I should be backing.....

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The last five winners had all played the Scottish Open the week before they won so that’s where I’m going to start my search…..

1) MATT KUCHAR - tied for second place in the Scottish Open last weekend meaning this 7 time US tour winner comes to St Andrews in good form. Finished 27th last time the Open was played here and should give us a run at a decent price (55/1 bet365 - 6 places or 50/1 betfair - 9 places).

2) LUKE DONALD - has had a torrid time of it over the last 12 months but looked to be coming back into form with a strong finish in the Scottish Open. 11th place at St Andrews in the last Open here makes me think 90/1 (bet365) is just too big for this former World Number 1.

I picked Sergio last year because the experts had said that a golden rule in finding the Open winner is that your chosen player has to have won already this Season. 

3) BUBBA WATSON - a patriotic yank through and through he unfortunately never seems to play well when he has to leave the States (probably misses his mom). But he's won on the US tour this year, has two majors to his name and missed the cut in The Open last year (5 of the last 6 winners had also missed the cut the previous year). If he can hold his nerve and keep the putter steady then 40/1 (betfair) might look big come Sunday evening.

And finally by using a few strongish looking trends I'm making my last tip my strongest bet of the 4.

  • 10 of last 10 Open winners had posted a top 3 earlier that season (7 had won)
  • 9 of last 10 Open winners had registered a top 6 in the event previously
  • 8 of last 10 Open winners were in the world's top 50
  • 7 of last 10 Open winners had posted a top 10 in the first two majors of the season

4) Which all points to DUSTIN JOHNSON - if he's recovered from his mess up at the last hole of the US Open then he must go close here. He's finished top 10 in 9 previous majors and was 14th at St Andrews on the last occasion the Open was played here. He's a bit short at around 12/1 but he has very strong claims and must have every chance of rewarding a big each way bet with 7 places available (skybet).

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Betfair Sportsbook are paying each way 1/4 odds 8 places

Ladbrokes have a great offer (wow, I never thought I'd write that!) whereby they will give you a free bet up to £25 if your player misses the cut. They pay 1/4 odds 6 places

Boylesports will refund your money as a free bet up to £50 if your man finishes 2nd or 3rd (including ties). They pay 1/4 odds 6 places

Corals have really pushed the boat out by going worst price on everyone and paying a really ungenerous 5 places. The sooner this awful company is bought out the better........

Good luck,
Gavin.

Sponsored Pier Hop

I'm on holiday from next Monday (20th July) and will be away for 3 weeks. We, as a family, have decided to go on a bit of a road trip and will be travelling around the coastline of England and Wales to visit all 55 coastal piers that are still standing.

Starting and finishing at the pier in our home town of Penarth it's taken months of planning and will see us travel anticlockwise through pretty much every county on the coast.

We're hoping to raise a bit of money for the RNLI as we travel from pier to pier and I've set up a charitable page here http://www.everyclick.com/visit55piersin20days/info to accept donations. If you feel you could spare a pound or two and sponsor us for this very worthwhile charity that would be really great and much appreciated.

And if you want to track our progress and find out about the 55 piers we visit then you can read all about it on a blog I've set up for our holiday: http://55piers20days.blogspot.co.uk/


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4 thoughts on “The Open 2015

  • You’ve got a good chance with Dustin Johnson but next to no chance with your others. You’re really going to need length off the tee here and a good wind player- that counts Bubba out. Sergio will have a chance this year and at 35/1 is value to place and others like Kaymer, Stenson, Scott and Fowler should all contend. D Johnson is the strongest though and has the perfect game for a St Andrews Open

  • Hi Buddy,

    Just checked your schedule and you are missing out Blackpools 3 piers, St Annes and Fleetwood Piers.

  • Hi Gavin,you have made some solid selections there in my book. I am also on FLEETWOOD 70/1 (up and coming); CASEY 33’s(same as Donald). after watching an impressive LAWRIE in the champs challenge i’ve added him at 300/1. Good luck with the golf AND of course the charity trip. Hope you enjoy Cromer (local to me) the fresh crab must be sampled! I’ll send you a contribution from my golf winnings!

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