York Handicap System

York's Ebor meeting kicks off on Wednesday and last year I published a handicap system that had been profitable to follow over the previous 5 years. After knocking in winners left right and centre over the 4 days it has now been profitable to follow for the last 6 years!

Last year we had:

Blaine 12/1 winner
Bragging 10/3 winner
Glenard 12/1 winner
Queensberry Rules 8/1 winner
Edge Of Sanity 25/1 winner

So to refresh your mind and help pinpoint the winners this week I've republished it below....

HANDICAP STATS

If we forget the nurseries (2yo handicaps) and go back to 2004 we can see there have been 93 handicaps run at the Ebor meeting. From these 93 races……

  • 92 of the 93 winners were rated 104 or less (exception last years Ebor winner rated 106)
  • All 93 winners had been rested at least 4 days
  • 92 of the 93 winners had run in the last 75 days
  • 91 winners carried 8-03 or more
  • 87 winners carried 9-08 or less
  • 85 winners ran in a handicap last time out
  • 83 winners were ridden by non claiming jockeys (claimers: 10 wins /200 rides)
  • 84 winners were 20/1 or shorter
  • 79 winners were 14/1 or shorter
  • 52 winners finished in the top 4 last time out
  • 28 winners had their last run at Glorious Goodwood

SIMPLE 6 RULE HANDICAP SYSTEM

1) AGED 3-5

2) CARRYING 9-00 – 9-08

3) RATED 89-101

4) RESTED 11 – 38 DAYS

5) NOT RIDDEN BY A CLAIMING JOCKEY

6) 14/1 OR SHORTER (optional)

Since 2009....

Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
99 24 24.24% 114.83 48 48.48%
Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2014 20 4 20% 19.33 7 35%
2013 23 4 17% 9 11 48%
2012 15 4 27% 25 7 47%
2011 7 1 14% 2 4 57%
2010 15 4 27% 39 8 53%
2009 19 7 37% 20.5 11 58%

I'll be publishing the runners each day from around 9am each morning.

Good luck,
Gavin.


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