After a disappointing first day at the Knavesmire I managed to get some cash back yesterday courtesy of Ebor winner Sesanta and Gimcrack winner Showcasing. Our trends guide had the Ebor down to three Ajaan, Sesanta and Manyriverstocross but after the late withdrawal of Ajaan it was a straight choice between the other two.
Obviously, I picked the wrong one for my main bet but I did have a saver on the Willie Mullins horse and disaster was averted.
Onto today…
In the sales race at 1.45 I’ll be having a small interest in Di Stefano in the hope that he can show the kind of form that saw him finish a very fast finishing 3rd in the Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot. On that run the 6f looks well within his compass and as one of the highest rated horses in the race he should be thereabouts. The 8/1 looks too big.
In the 2.50 I have one of my ‘horses to follow’ running in the shape of Webbow. I had a feeling that he would be running at the meeting as York suits him so well and in his current form must go well. It’s slightly annoying that Pricewise has tipped him but 12/1 is still available and I’ll be steaming in with a big each way wager.
In the 4.05 I can’t see why Princess Tayloris 12/1 and will be having a little each way on her too. She didn’t quite get home over the 1m6f last time at Goodwood but before that had shown excellent form to chase home Barshiba at Newmarket over today’s distance. She had a couple of these behind her that day and should at least make the frame here.
A 3yo 5f sprint brings the curtain down on today’s proceeding and the only thing certain about this race is that it will be run at breakneck speed. There are front running pace horses from all sides of the draw and it may pay to try and find something that can sit off the front and take advantage late on as the leaders tire. The one I’m going to side with is Paul Green’s Lucky Numbers who hasn’t been getting home over 6f recently. The step back in trip has got to help him and if the first time blinkers do the trick 16/1 is another nice each way bet.
In my £100 to a Grand challenge I will place a 10pew Lucky 15 on the 4 of them and have £3ew on Webbow at 12/1
1.45 Di Steffano
2.50 Webbow
4.05 Princess Taylor
4.40 Lucky Numbers
Don’t forget that any money I make during this challenge I will be giving away to one lucky reader. If you want to be in with a chance of scooping it all then time is running out to enter. Here’s how you can do it…..
I’ll be setting a series of challenges to whittle down all the readers who want to enter until we are left with just 1. The first challenge will be for the Lottery Main Draw on Saturday 22nd August and you simply have to decide if the bonus ball will be an odd or an even number.
If you think it will be ODD simply send an email with your name in the subject line to odd@nag-nag-nag.co.uk
If you think it will be EVEN then send an email with your name in the subject line to even@nag-nag-nag.co.uk
NOTE: The draw date is 22nd August.
All those who guess correctly will be through to the next challenge.
PLEASE: Only 1 entry per person. (To stop those who try to guess both odd and even: if more than one entry is received you will be disqualified). All entries must be received by 7pm 22nd August 2009. The challenge runs to 24th December. Any prizemoney will be paid 1st January 2010. My decision is final.
Obviously, once the competition has started you won’t then be able to join in so get those emails in quick to make sure you’re entered. It’ll only take a few seconds. Good luck.
Currently Odd is twice as popular as Even!
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A few more horses that are on (or were on) my list of horses to follow.
These are ones I have mentioned in my posts before…..
LATERLY: A 4yo gelding from the Tom Tate yard. He’s handicapped to win but will need to have conditions in his favour. I’m waiting for him to run in a 1m 4f race on good or softer ground at one of the lesser Northern tracks (e.g. Ripon or Thirsk). I also want him to run from the front but we won’t know that until the stalls open!
DANCE CLUB:A 3yo filly who followed up her good 2nd at Yarmouth with a win at the same course. I’ve had my win from her and will now cross her off the list.
Another one who has been well and truly crossed off the list is INDIAN TRAILwho I have been following in big sprints of late. After a couple of unlucky looking runs I thought there was a race in him but he’s probably just not that well handicapped. Expect him to make a monkey of me now with a win in the Ayr Gold Cup.
And a recent addition to the list for a Godolphin 2yo who ran very green on his introduction. I doubt he’s near the top of their juvenile pecking order but AL DAFA was quite well fancied to win a Lingfield maiden the other night. He looked very inexperienced throughout and Frankie eased him up quite a bit when his chance had gone but 5 lengths behind Dubai Set wasn’t a bad first run and I expect him to take a maiden next time before going on to run well in nurseries.
Good luck,
Gavin.