What a cracking looking card for the first day of the York meeting. Having got all my Royal Ascot losses back (and a few quid more besides ;-) ) on Shakespearean at the weekend I’m all set for a good few days punting.

Gary’s had a look at the opening Sprint on the card and I’ve had a look at the closing two handicaps to try and find a few lively outsiders for us to back…. 

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I thought we were a bit unlucky not to win the Great St Wilfred on Saturday with Signor Peltro. Tony Culhane left his challenge far too late despite looking to be travelling best of any of them 2F out. Never mind, we now look forward to a great card at York and it’s the first race of the meeting that I’m interested in, a nice 17 runner 5 furlong handicap to get stuck into.
 
Barney Macgrew: won this last year, now racing off 8lb higher mark, very tough to repeat last years result and not for me 2/5
 
Captain Dunne: very speedy 5F specialist who has run well in Group company as well as winning a handicap earlier this season, one or two better handicapped at the moment and the weight may stop him here  2/5
 
Sir Gerry: won twice this season both over 6F, this trip will be on the sharp side for him and I will be looking elsewhere 1/5
 
Hamish McGonagall: been in cracking for again this season wining twice over 5F, loves big fields and was only caught close home in this race last year, just a bit too high in the weights for me. 3/5
 
Damien: his sole success was over 6F on his race course debut, this trip is sure to be too quick for him so not for me here.  2/5
 
Quest For Success: ran a blinder in the Great St Wilfred on Saturday to be 5th from what was the worst possible draw in stall 1, but that was over 6F and he was staying on at the end, interesting that they have run him again so quickly and definitely one for the short list.  4/5
 
Glamorous Spirit: ran them ragged in a Group 3 over 5F in Ireland but not been in same form since and handicap mark has shot up as a result.  1/5
 
Judge N Jury: now on a very attractive mark and only 8-11 to carry, could well surprise at very attractive odds, but I would like too see a revival in form before I wager in again, the ground is ideal too but stall 16 not so great.  3/5
 
Hotham: been in good form this season winning twice here, seems to prefer 6F nowadays and may just struggle in this company. Not for me today.  2/5
 
Tabaret: won nicely a couple of days ago running down the middle of the track on his own under top weight, that was in first time blinkers which are kept on here so need to work again, got a good draw here. 3/5
 
Strike Up The Band: was in cracking form this time last year, but over 2 years since he last won and current form not been encouraging, has the best trainer for this type of race and could easily lead all the way. 4/5
 
Cheveton: a quality 5F sprinter when the ground is riding soft,has been tried over 6F this season but to no avail, looked to be coming right back to best when 3rd at Ayr recently one for the short list.  4/5
 
Haajes: funny character who always runs well but doesn’t get his head in front as often as he should, won at Hamilton back in July but this quality of opposition looks too hot for him.  3/5
 
Saucy Brown: a very frustrating season so far has all the ability and is now very well handicapped, but has been too disappointing to follow just now, but one that is more than capable of romping home if all falls into place. 3/5
 
Oldjoesaid: now too well handicapped to ignore, has stall 9 so will get all the cover he requires and can go where the pace is, has been a long time since he won but worth taking a chance with.  5/5
 
Rasaman: has won twice this season since I tipped him back in May, is very capable but this might just be too classy a race for him.  2/5
 
Walvis Bay: a 3yo who is improving and looks to be a head of the handicapper at the moment, but these high quality and ultra competitive handicaps do take a lot of winning and that’s why I like to oppose 3 year olds, stall 14 not ideal either.  3/5
 
Selection: OLDJOESAID  2pt ew 25/1
Danger: STRIKE UP THE BAND 1pt ew 20/1
Tricast: CHEVETON

In the Nursery (4.05 York) I’m quite fancying the chances of Sir Luncalott to run well at a big price. He looks like a horse who was put away for a handicap campaign after running in the early season juvenile races. After winning his maiden at the fourth attempt he reappeared 2 months later in a hot nursery at Goodwood but ran creditably in 4th weakening only in the last half furlong. That race was over 7f whereas today he runs over 6f and with an able 7lb claimer on board plus a recent run under his belt his current odds of 33/1 look too big to me.

Selection: Sir Lunchalott at 33/1

And in the last (4.40) I’m relying on Richard Hills to have learnt from his mistakes at Goodwood and give Almiqdaad a better ride here. It’s probably asking a bit much but this race doesn’t look anywhere near as good as that Goodwood race and Michael Jarvis has been banging in the winners of late. I expect a big run from him today. Don’t let me down Richard Hills!!

Selection: Almiqdaad 11/1

I’ll be having an each way patent on the three (Oldjoesaid, Sir Lunchalott and Almiqdaad) but as always, do what you feel is best with them….

BACK THEM, LAY THEM or IGNORE THEM!

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Placepot

And finally, let’s have a go at the Placepot today with this ‘little‘ perm….

11-12-15 / 4-6 / 1-7 / 6-8 / 3-6-14 / 2-3-4-15 = 288 bets

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Festival Trends and Summer Special

It was a good weekend for the Festival Trends guides with 2 nice winners from the 3 races we covered at 3/1 and 3/1.

We also had a good week over at the Summer Special after a slight dip in form following Glorious Goodwood. We gave 7 winners between Thursday and Sunday at SP odds of Evs, 7/4, 2/1, 11/4, 11/4, 4/1 and 9/2. The service is up over 15 points to starting price since it began and you can check out our full results here….. http://www.nag-nag-nag.co.uk/sumspecresults.html

York begins today and we’ll be covering 11 races over the 4 days including the Ebor Handicap on Wednesday where we have a very strong trends horse running for us. You can get every trends guide until the end of the year PLUS all the Summer Special Guides which includes the York Festival Pointers for the bargain price of just £29.95….

Instant access from here….. http://www.festivaltrends.co.uk/amember/signup.php

To recap: For the one-off payment of £29.95 you get every Trends Guide until January 1st 2011 (York, Doncaster, Ayr, Goodwood, Ascot, Newmarket, The Arc, Breeders Cup, Newbury, Cheltenham, Kempton and many, many more), The 2yo TTS Guide, The Summer Jumps TTS Guide (latest runner won by 10 lengths at 4/1), Horses to Follow list, York Festival Pointers (there are 5 negative horses for Tuesday) and Doncaster St Leger Meeting Pointers.

Signup here…. http://www.festivaltrends.co.uk/amember/signup.php

Good luck,
Gavin.

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