It’s been a bit quiet on the blog front recently due to the poor racing we’ve been served up over the last week or so including that truly awful Shergar Cup meeting from Ascot (I think Gary has come around to my way of thinking as he too now also hates it!). I’ve made a note in the diary to make sure next years family holiday coincides with the meeting.

Things will start to pick up again from this weekend with a good card at Newbury on Saturday followed by York’s Ebor meeting next week. There’s also a good 6f Sprint Handicap at Ripon on Saturday and I’ve got another FREE Trends Guide to give away to all readers. It’s the St Wilfrid Stakes and you can get it by clicking below…..

 www.nag-nag-nag.co.uk/stwilfrid.pdf

Don’t forget I’m also giving away the Ebor Trends as well….

http://www.trainertrackstats.com/member/go.php?r=558&i=l5

And if you still can’t get enough of the trends my special offer is still available until the weekend. All the trends guides for the rest of the year (York, Doncaster, Ayr, Ascot, Newmarket, Newbury, Breeders Cup, Arc, Cheltenham, Kempton…….) the 2yo TTS Guide, Summer Jumps TTS Guide and the Ebor Meeting pointers (see below) all for just £29.95……

http://www.festivaltrends.co.uk/amember/signup.php

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Ebor Meeting Pointers

In the Summer Special offer I dug out 10 trainer / jockey combinations to look out for at the Ebor meeting which included this little beautie….

‘John Dunlop has a great record at the meeting with 8 winners from 24 runners since 2004 but by concentrating solely on his runners who finished in the top 5 last time out we can improve this further to 7 wins from 14 runners for a level stakes profit of +39pts.’

In other words, If you’d have simply backed all John Dunlop runners at the Ebor Meeting who finished in the top 5 on their last start you would have had a 50% strike rate and a whopping 39 point profit since 2004.

Anyone who wants the other 9 stats can get them by subscribing to the end of year trends offer (£29.95), the York trends (£4.95) or the Summer Special Offer or if you prefer you can have the following ones for free.

They’re not quite as solid because they’re relying on a smaller number of winners but all would have shown a decent profit at the Ebor Meeting since 2004…….

John Gosden

Since 2004 he’s had 3 winners from 15 runners at the meeting and backing all his runners blindly you would have shown a level stakes loss. But by solely backing his runners in the Group races you would have backed all 3 of his winners but had only 4 losers. This system shows a level stakes profit of +£7.00

- Back all John Gosden runners in Group races

Mick Channon

He’s another trainer who seems to target the Group races at the meeting as all 3 of his winners have come in this type of race. He’s sent 34 horses up to York since 2004 and backing them all would have seen you lose £10.59 at level stakes but with just 8 Group runners in the same period those 3 winners would have seen you win £15.40

If you wanted to take it one step further and just back those who finished in the top 3 last time out then you would have had a perfect 3 from 3 and improved your LSP to +£20.40.

- Back Mick Channon’s Group runners who finished in the top 3 last time out

D. NIcholls

Backing Dandy Nicholl’s runners blindly since 2004 would have given you just 4 winners from 33 runners but you would have made a nice profit of +£22.62 to level stakes (thanks mainly to one 25/1 winner).

But by simply backing his 2 and 3yo’s over 5f + 6f you would have backed 3 of his 4 winners from only 8 runners and made an even more impressive level stakes profit of +£30.62

- Back Nicholl’s 2 and 3yo’s running over sprint distances

Saeed Bin Suroor

He’s had just 3 winners from 29 runners since 2004 and shows a loss of -£15.12 but all 3 winners were at a distance of 1m2f - 1m5f  and finished in the top 4 last time out. If we apply this criteria to his horses we would have made a level stakes profit of +£7.87.

- Back all Suroor’s horses running over a distance of 1m2f - 1m5f who placed in the top 4 last time out.

And finally a word of caution……

Richard Hannon may have been cleaning up all the juvenile races at every track this year but beware his York Ebor juvenile runners. He’s had 30 such runners since 2004 and all have been beaten.

Good luck,
Gavin.

This entry was posted on Thursday, August 12th, 2010 at 2:30 pm and is filed under Uncategorized. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.