FESTIVAL TRENDS

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The Ebor Handicap (York)

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Shergar Cup Meeting

As I can’t stand this meeting and have no interest in it whatsoever I’ve asked Gary to take over the blog and have a look at the 6 races for you….

Hi all,

I spent Monday afternoon at my local track, Newton Abbot, with my sister, mum, my 6 sons and their assorted friends and girlfriends. The track has a great incentive for going racing as all kids get in free but unfortunately that doesn’t include cheeseburgers, jacket potatoes, ice-creams, do-nuts, sweets, drinks etc. which meant I was nearly skint before the first race had even been run! I wasn’t that bothered though because my big fancy of the day was running in the last and I was sure my £50ew at 14/1 Temple Place would more than pay the food bill.

Everything went to plan as he cruised through to lead at the second last only to make a mistake at the hurdle and come home a disappointing 2nd. It was a profit on the day but it left me feeling a little deflated as he really should have won. On my return home I found a few emails in my inbox that Gavin had forwarded on from happy readers who had had a Glorious Goodwood thanks to my tips. That certainly cheered me up as I love it when I’m able to help people win money off the bookies! There was also one from Gavin asking if I’d take a look at the Shergar Cup meeting as I was a brilliant tipster who was in such good form to which I replied, of course, no problem.

It wasn’t until I read Gavin’s Blog that I found the real reason he’d asked me, he hates the meeting! Cheers Gav.

Let’s see if I can change his mind with this little lot….

The first of the 6 races is the 2.10 a 6F handicap for all ages, just my type of race. From the 10 runners I have a short list of 3, they are Judge ‘N Jury, Fol Hollow and Secret Asset. Judge ‘N Jury was 3rd in this race last year after having won here the time before and, while he doesn’t come into the race this year in quite the same form, he wasn’t beaten that far on his last run and he’s a 1lb lower than when running 4th in the Epsom Dash on Derby Day. Back in 4th last year was Fol Hollow and he comes here with a win over Captain Dunne this season which is pretty good sprint handicap form. Secret Asset was 6th in last weeks Stewards Cup.
 
Selection: JUDGE ‘N JURY
Danger: FOL HOLLOW
 
Race 2 is a 1m 4F 3yo only handicap with Mark Johnston responsible for 4 of the runners. It’s a very tight handicap with only 11lb’s between top and bottom weights. It’s the bottom one I’m interested in, Life And Soul, who ran a cracking 4th last week at Goodwood where he had quite a few of these behind him. Trying to sort out possible dangers is quite tricky here as they all have some decent form in the book so I’m taking a chance with the Godolphin horse Fareej who was 7th at Goodwood. Of the Johnston quartet Mister Angry looks to be the best bet.
 
Selection: LIFE AND SOUL
Danger: FAREEJ
 
3.20 Race 3 sees the Hannon trained Vitznau who was 5th in the Goodwood mile last week. This was one race that the Hannon/Hughes combination didn’t win and a ride that Hughes did not over impress on. Olivier Peslier takes the ride for the Europeans and this smaller field should be more suitable for the top-weight. Possible dangers are Dunn’o and Benandonner. The latter ran a good 4th last week whilst Dunn’o has been knocking on the door all season.
 
Selection: VITZNAU
Danger: BENANDONNER
 
Race 4 is for the stayers where my shortlist includes Bernie The Bolt , Bow To No One and Becausewecan. I am convinced that Becausewecan is going to win soon as his last 2 efforts have been much more encouraging. This isn’t the greatest staying handicap Ascot will stage and a 3lb drop in the ratings makes him look attractively handicapped. Both Bernie The Bolt and Bow To No One need to return to last seasons form to play major roles here but that’s not completely out of the question bearing in mind the quality involved here. Lady Eclair has been in tremendous form so far this season but here rating has shot up as a result and the same can now be said of Colloquiall.
 
Selection: BECAUSEWECAN
Danger: BERNIE THE BOLT
 
Race 5 is an all aged 1m 4F handicap where only 2 of the runners won last time out. I’m looking beyond both of them and seeking a little bit of value. I am expecting Emerging Market to be the favourite but he’s not on my shortlist of 3 which consists of Strategic Mount, Seeking The Buck and Macarthur. They have had 10 runs with no wins between them so far this season but are all capable 12F horses on there day. The selection is going to be Paul Cole’s Strategic Mount who has twice won over the CD from 5 attempts and both were off a rating of 94. Today he runs of only 88. The danger could well be the once well regarded Macarthur who won a Group 2 over this CD only 2 years ago when rated 119. He now runs of a rating of 94 and on his last run finished 7th in the Northumberland Plate behind Overturn, he could surprise.
 
Selection: STRATEGIC MOUNT
Danger: MACARTHUR
 
Race 6 is a 3yo 6F handicap that sees the consistent Gene Autry as top weight. He ran another fine race at Goodwood over 7F but I feel this return to a stiffer 6F will definitely suit him. Fireback is a big danger on the form of his win at Newmarket’s July meeting but he was disappointing last time at Goodwood. Below Zero could be a bigger danger if able to return to his Chester form having been a little disappointing behind Fireback at Newmarket last time. He could be a value alternative in a very competitive sprint.
 
Selection: GENE AUTRY
Danger: BELOW ZERO
 
I had done all the selections without knowing the Jockey so as not to be influenced by doing only the riders I knew or had heard of. Having now seen the jockey bookings I am very pleased with most of them and the French pair of C. Soumillon and O. Peslier look to have got very good rides. My 6 selections have a very international flavour with Anton Marcus(SAF), Y.Iwata(JPN), O.Peslier(FR), Hayley Turner(GB), Anton Marcus(SAF) and Fran Berry(IRE) taking the rides. Lets hope for some good luck and an enjoyable days racing so that we can convert Gavin into loving this meeting. We all know how much he loves these innovations in racing, particularly the ones at Kempton Park!
 
Good Luck
Gary
 
P.S. Away from Ascot I have 2 horses running that are worth a very close look. Geojimali in the 7.40 at Ayr will be winning very soon in fact I’m hoping that it will be by 7.45 Saturday night! The other is in the sprint at 4.35 Haydock. Regular readers will know I have done Excusez Moi on numerous occasions before and I’m glad to say he is now running back into form. Anyone who saw his run at Ripon on Monday will know he is now ready to win again. If it’s not today then I think the Great St. Wilfred back at Ripon next Saturday could well be on the agenda which is a race he won back in 2006. I will be having ew singles and an ew double on those 2.

As always, fell free to do what you want with the selections: BACK THEM, LAY THEM or IGNORE THEM!

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