The final race, more specifically 3 horses, I’m going to look at from next week is the Kings Stand Stakes. It’s a 5f Group 1 Sprint that is run on the Tuesday and has been dominated by Australian trained runners in the last 7 years.

Since 2003 the runners from down under have finished  11471340281 with wins for Choisir (2003), Takeover Target (2006), Miss Andretti (2007) and Scenic Blast (2009).

What’s particularly interesting about the 4 winners is that they all had a very similar campaign prior to making the long trip to race at Ascot.

All 4 of them ran, and won, in the Grade 1 Lightning Stakes at Flemington Park over 5f.
All 4 of them ran, and 3 won (exception Choisir was 6th), in the Grade 1 Newmarket Handicap at Flemington Park over 6f.

3 of the 4 ran in the Oakleigh Plate at Caulfield over 6f between these two races where they finished 3rd, 3rd and 5th (Miss Andretti didn’t run in this race)

Given the Aussies dominance in the Kings Stand it’s not surprising to see their runners fancied in the market (including the favourite) but what chance have they got of making it 5 from the last 8?

It’s easy to see why the current favourite is Nicconi as he too won the Lightning Stakes back in January and his record over 5f reads 1111
He got beat in the 6f Newmarket Handicap when finishing 14th but that has been no barrier to success here and back over the 5f of the Kings Stand he looks to have a good a chance as any of the previous Aussie runners.

The other Australian runner declared for the race is Gold Trail who stopped over in Singapore on his way to Ascot to take in their big Group 1 sprint. He finished 4th that day, which I’m sure paid all their travelling expenses, but with most of his running being done over 6f I reckon connections will be looking at Saturday’s Golden Jubilee as their main target next week.

I said their were 3 horses I’d be looking at and the third runner is very interesting in that he was originally Australian trained but now lives at Ballydoyle under the watchful eye of Aiden O’Brien. Starspangledbanner also ran in the Lightning Stakes where he finished 4th behind Nicconi but gained his revenge on that one in the Newmarket Handicap (over 6f) when finishing  11 places in front of him. Since joining O’Brien he’s had the one run where he finished 5th to Prime Defender at York again over 6f. He only weakened in the last 100 yards that day and I reckon that run will have put him spot on for Ascot.

Jockey Stats for Royal Ascot

 2009 ROYAL ASCOT TOP JOCKEY. FINAL TABLE

JOCKEY            WINS 2NDS 3RDS 4THS RIDES LSP

J. MURTAGH - 4 —- 1 —- 0 —- 0 —- 12   +8.33
R. HUGHES  - 4 —- 0 —- 3 —- 2 —- 20   +17.58
R. MOORE    - 3 —- 8 —- 1 —- 4 —- 29    -4.00
R. HILLS        - 3 —- 0 —- 1 —- 1 —- 17   +24.00
J. SPENCER - 2 —- 1 —- 2 —- 0 —- 10   +6.50
J. FANNING   - 2 —- 1 —- 0 —- 0 —- 9   +14.00
E. AHERN     - 2 —- 0 —- 1 —- 0 —- 12   +5.00
L. DETTORI   - 1 —- 3 —- 3 —- 2 —- 25   -19.00
T. QUEALLY - 1 —- 1 —- 1 —- 2 —- 11   +10.00

JOHNNY MURTAGH 11 year record:

157 rides for 31 winners (19.7% strike rate) LSP +£170.15
Last 2 years winners: 6 – 4

His incredible level stakes profit over the last 11 years was built mainly before he took the job as Ballydoyle stable jockey.

FRANKIE DETTORI 11 year record:

231 rides for 24 winners (10.4% strike rate) LSL -£60.97
Last 2 years winners: 1 – 1

He’s only managed the solitary winner for each of the last 4 Royal Ascot meetings.

RICHARD HUGHES 11 year record:

213 rides for 17 winners (7.4% strike rate) LSL -£20.42
Last 2 years winners: 2 – 4

He did manage a four timer at the meeting in 2002

RYAN MOORE 11 year record:

108 rides for 6 winners (5.6% strike rate) LSL -£65.00
Last years winners: 3

He rode in 29 of the 30 races last year and finished in the top 4 on 16 occasions.

——-

YORK TODAY

Today’s racing at York looks competitive and I’ll be having  just a couple of bets…..

Elliptical 2.40 York
The Only Boss 3.15 York

I’ll be having £2ew on each and a £1ew double for the BBB prizefund.

There’s still plenty of time to send in your number (1-49). Guesses to bonusball@nag-nag-nag.co.uk
Current prizepool £20.00

——-

Gary’s System Horses

Due to popular demand Gary has re-started listing his System Horses.

Personally I think the system has had it’s day but we’ll give it another week or so to see if it’s just a minor blip it’s been going through or whether it just started off on a lucky streak. If results don’t improve we’ll bin it completely.

His own personal selections are still running well though and are still showing a massive profit since he started his tipping page. He’s got a couple for today to try and boost his Royal Ascot punting fund.

For Royal Ascot he’s producing a Tipping Guide for all 30 races and you can order your copy from his new website….. http://www.horseraceoutsiders.co.uk/

Good luck,
Gavin.

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