The 13 most important prep races for Glorious Goodwood

We've had a lot of winners over the last two years by looking at the races trainers have been using to prep their horses for the Big Meetings so as I had a little time on my hands over the weekend I thought I'd take a look at which races have been the most important for spotting Glorious Goodwood winners.

It's a little bit harder to research than the Cheltenham Route 66 or Highway 50 service for Royal Ascot because we now see the all aged Group races opened up to 3yo's meaning more than 1 race is important as a pointer but I have managed to find 13 races that have proved invaluable in spotting winners for 10 feature races at Glorious Goodwood.

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I've called the Guide The A13: Road to Glorious Goodwood and all 13 races are available below along with their record over the last 6 years or so. There is also a PDF download available at the end of the post that includes all 13 races.

5 races have already been run at Royal Ascot with the rest taking place at Newmarket and York of the next fortnight.

I will be adding some Ante-Post recommendations for all Festival Trends subscribers from next Sunday 16th July.

I hope you enjoy the read...


5 RACES TO NOTE FROM ROYAL ASCOT


QUEEN ANNE STAKES
points to the Sussex Stakes (GLORIOUS GOODWOOD)

The 1 mile Group 1 Queen Anne Stakes is the first race at Royal Ascot and has provided 4 Sussex Stakes winners (and 4 runner ups) + 1 Lennox Stakes winner over the 11 years..

Ramonti in 2007, Frankel in 2012 and Solow in 2015 have all done the Queen Anne – Sussex Stakes double since 2007. Richard Hannon's 2014 winner Toronado, 2009 winner Paco Boy and 2011 winner Canford Cliffs all ran second to a 3yo in the Sussex Stakes but in 2015 his Toormore was 4th in the Queen Anne but won the 7F Lennox Stakes at Glorious Goodwood. In 2013 Declaration of War won the Queen Anne but was only 3rd in the Sussex Stakes while Court Masterpiece went the other way by running second in the Queen Anne and winning the Sussex Stakes in 2006. In 2010 Rip Van Winkle was 6th then 2nd in those two races.

THE WOKINGHAM
points to the Stewards Cup (GLORIOUS GOODWOOD)

13 of the last 19 winners of the Stewards Cup (Saturday) had run in the Wokingham where 11 had finished in the top half (Evens and Odds was 17/27 and 2009 winner Genki who was last). In the last 6 years the Wokingham has provided 3 winners and 9 placed horses...

2016 -5 runners 0 wins 0 places: A rare blank year with most of those horses who finished in the top 5 moving out of handicap company and up into Group races.
2015 -11 runners 0 wins 2 places: In 2015 Dinkum Diamond was 17th in the Wokingham and 4th in the Stewards Cup at 33/1. Rivellino was 10th and 3rd at 33/1 in the same two races
2014 -7 runners 0 wins 2 places: In 2014 Alben Star managed 4th in the Wokingham and 3rd in the Stewards Cup while Ninjago was 13th and second in the two races.
2013 - 8 runners 1 win 0 places: In 2013 Rex Imperator won the Stewards Cup at 12/1 having finished 6th in the Wokingham
2012 – 9 runners 1 win 3 places: In 2012 Hawkeyethenoo finished third in the Wokingham but won the Stweards Cup at 9/1 with Waffle 2nd and 4th in the two races. Lui Rei could only manage 17th in the Wokingham but came back to form at Goodwood to finish 3rd in the Stweards Cup at 20/1, Alben Star was 9th at Ascot and 5th at Goodwood.
2011 – 11 runners 1 wins 2 places: In 2011 Hoof It was 7th when favourite in the Wokingham but won the Stewards Cup again as favourite. Mac's Power was 8th and 3rd in the two races while Nasri was 14th and 4th at 20/1

KING GEORGE V HANDICAP
points to the Gordon Stakes (GLORIOUS GOODWOOD)

The King George V stakes is a handicap for 3yo's only that is run over 1m4f. In the last 7 years the race has provided one winner, 4 runner ups and a third in the Group 3 Gordon Stakes

The 2016 Gordon Stakes runner up The Major General had previously run 4th in the King George V handicap at Royal Acot. In 2015 Scottish and in 2014 Windshear both finished runner-up in the King George V and then runner up in the Gordon Stakes. The 2013 4th home Cap Of Rushes had managed one better than those two when winning the 2013 Gordon Stakes at 9/2 with the 3rd home that year Spillway having run 10th in the King George V at Ascot. The 2010 Gordon Stakes runner up Dandino had previously won the King George V handicap.

SANDRINGHAM HANDICAP
points to the Oak Tree Stakes (GLORIOUS GOODWOOD)

The Sandringham handicap is for 3yo fillies only and is run over 1m. While the Oak Tree Stakes is open to older horses the 3yo's coming from the Sandringham handicap have a great record here having provided the last three runner-ups and the winner in 2013.

The 2016 Oak Tree runner up, Miss En Rose, ran 15th in the Sandringham but had won a Class 2 Newmarket handicap in between these two races. Osalia was also runner up in the Oak Tree having run in the Sandringham Handicap although she had managed to win that race. Muteela had done the same in 2014, winning the Sandringham as the 9/2 fav before finishing runner up in the Oak Tree. Annecdote managed to do the double in these two races in 2013 at the rewarding odds of 11/1 & 14/1 although she was beaten in between those runs in a Ascot Listed race. In 2009 Please Sing ran third in both races as did Shabiba in 2008 but Costume went one better when finishing 3rd in the Sandringham and then 2nd in the Oak Tree.

THE ASCOT GOLD CUP
points to the Goodwood Cup (GLORIOUS GOODWOOD)

See Princess of Wales's Stakes below....


5 RACES TO NOTE FROM NEWMARKET'S JULY MEETING (13th - 15th July)


PRINCESS OF WALES'S STAKES (Newmarket 3.35pm DAY 1)
& ASCOT GOLD CUP
point to the Goodwood Cup (GLORIOUS GOODWOOD)

No shock to see the premier staying race of the Season, The Ascot Gold Cup, playing such a big part in the Goodwood Cup results but it is rather surprisingly that the 1m4f Princess of Wales's Stakes has also been a great guide to the race with the last three winners all having having done that double and Ahzeemah going so close the previous year.

In 2015 and 2016 Big Orange won the Princess of Wales (25/1 & 8/1) before winning the Goodwood Cup (6/1 & 11/4). He was following in the footsteps of Godolphin's Cavalryman who had done the same double in 2014 (9/1 & 5/1. In 2013 Ahzeemah had been another Godolphin horse to have attempted the double but had to settle for runner up in both races (13/2 & 12/1).

In 2016 Sheikhzayedroad ran 3rd in both the Ascot Gold Cup and Goodwood Cup but the 2015 Goodwood third Trip To Paris struggled under a 4lb penalty having actually won the Ascot Gold Cup . Ahzeemah ran 9th and 2nd in the 2014 Gold Cup and Goodwood Cup while Brown Panther ran third in both races. In 2013 German raider Altano was 5th and 3rd in the Gold Cup & Goodwood Cup. The 2012 Goodwood Cup winner Saddlers Rock had previously run 3rd in the Ascot Gold Cup to Colour Vision who could only manage third here. Askar Tau split the pair having been the 5th horse home in the Ascot Gold Cup. In 2011 Opinion Poll improved upon his second place finish in the Ascot Gold Cup to win the Goodwood Cup where Blue Bajan was 3rd having finished 10th at Ascot.

BET 365 H'CAP (Newmarket 3.00pm Day 2) &
JOHN SMITHS CUP (York 3.05pm Day2)
point to the 10f Class 2 Handicap (GLORIOUS GOODWOOD)

The bet365 Handicap is a great race pointer for the 10f handicap run as the very first race of Glorious Goodwood but you only need to concentrate on the front 4. The John Smiths handicap at York is the other great pointer to this Glorious Goodwood 10f Handicap and combined the two races have provided 11 of the 24 win and placed horses in the last 6 years (including 4 of the last 6 winners):

The 2016 winner Fire Fighting had managed 6th and the runner up Oasis Fantasy 8th in the John Smiths Cup Cup that year. In 2015 Gibeon finished 2nd in the Bet365 Handicap but won the 1m2f Handicap at Glorious Goodwood at 11/1. The runner up Mount Logan had finished 3rd in the John Smiths Cup. The 2014 Glorious Goodwood winner Sennockian Star had run 6th in the John Smith's Handicap. The 2013 Bet365 runner up Red Avenger was also runner up in the 1m2f H'cap at Goodwood (and won the Golden Mile the following year). Fennell Bay was 11th but managed 4th in the 1m2f Handicap at 16/1. In 2011 the Bet365 third home Labarinto went on to win the Glorious Goodwood 1m2f Handicap at 4/1f with Swift Alhaarth finishing 3rd at 28/1 after running last of 18 at Newmarket. Modun split the two after finishing runner up in the John Smiths Handicap with Jutland making it a clean sweep for the two races finishing last in the John Smiths but 4th at Glorious Goodwood.

JULY STAKES (Newmarket 2.25pm DAY 1)
points to the Richmond Stakes (GLORIOUS GOODWOOD)

With 4 Richmond Stakes winners in the last 5 years having previously run in the July Stakes at Newmarket and three of the 4 doing the double it's definitely a race to take note of:

The 2016 winner Mehmas confirmed form with the July Stakes runner up Intelligence Cross when doing the double at the rather rewarding odds of 7/2. In 2015 Shalaa beat Steady Pace in the July Stakes at Newmarket and confirmed the places at Goodwood when they finished 1st and 3rd in the Richmond Stakes. Ivawood also did the July Stakes – Richmond double in 2014 with Jungle Cat running 2nd and 3rd in the same two races. In 2012 Heavy Metal finished last in the July Stakes but won the Richmond Stakes at 9/1.

SUPERLATIVE STAKES (Newmarket 4.00pm DAY 3)
points to the Vintage Stakes (GLORIOUS GOODWOOD)

4 Vintage Stakes winners since 2010 had previously run top 2 in the Superlative Stakes at Newmarket but the placings aren't always confirmed with 2 of the 4 winners reversing form with their Newmarket conqueror.

In 2016 Boynton beat War Decree in the Superlative Stakes but the placings were reversed at Glorious Goodwood in the Vintage Stakes where War Decree was first and Boynton third. Olympic Glory did the double in 2012 at 6/4 and 11/4 where Artigiano was 4th and 2nd and Luhaif 7th and 3rd in the same two races. In 2011 Chandlery was runner up in the Superlative to Red Duke but reversed form to take the Vintage Stakes as the 5/2 favourite with Red Duke only 3rd at 11/4. The 2010 winner King Torus was another Richard Hannon trained 2yo to do the Superlative – Vintage Stakes double

JULY CUP (Newmarket 4.35pm DAY 3) &
LISTED 5F STAKES (York 4.15pm DAY 2)
point to the King George Stakes (GLORIOUS GOODWOOD)

These 2 races combined have provided 10 of the 15 win and placed horses in the King George Stakes at Glorious Goodwood including 4 of the last 6 winners plus the 1-2-3 in 2011:

The 2016 King George Stakes runner up Washington DC had previously run 5th in the July Cup at 25/1. Muthmir ran 9th in the July Cup in 2015 but appreciated the drop down to 5f to take that Season's King George Stakes. He was chased home by Take Cover who had finished last at York but in 2014 he won both at York and at Glorious Goodwood. In 2014 Moviesta finished 8th in the July Cup but 3rd in the King George Stakes. Ortensia won the King George Stakes in 2012 having finished fourth in the July Cup previously and Masamah was third at 12/1 having run 11th of 13 at York. In 2011 the 1-2-3 at Glorious Goodwood were the 1st, 2nd and 5th at York.


2 RACES TO NOTE FROM YORK'S JOHN SMITHS MEETING (15th July)


JOHN SMITHS CUP (York 3.05pm)
points to the 10f Class 2 Handicap (GLORIOUS GOODWOOD)

See Bet365 Handicap above....

LISTED 5F STAKES (YORK 4.15pm)
points to the King George Stakes (GLORIOUS GOODWOOD)

See July Cup above....


A RACE TO NOTE FROM NEWMARKET (22nd July)


APHRODITE STAKES (Newmarket 2.40pm)
points to the Lillie Langtry Stakes (GLORIOUS GOODWOOD)

The Aphrodite Stakes is a 1m4f race open to fillies and mares aged 3yo+ which is 2 furlongs shorter than the Group 3 Lillie Langtry Stakes but given the lack of similar races open to females at around this distance it has been a solid pointer to the Goodwood race.

In 2016 Tioga Pass finished 2nd in the Lillie Langtry at 25/1 having run 5th in the Aphrodite Stakes while Twitch ran 2nd and 3rd in the same races that year. In 2015 Jordan Princess won the Aphrodite but could only manage third in the Lillie Langtry. Wild Coco won the Aphrodite in 2011 but was beaten into 5th in that year's Lillie Langtry behind Meeznah who had finished 2nd at Newmarket. Wild Coco would but come back to win the Lillie Langtry in both 2012 and 2013.


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Good luck,
Gavin.

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