From 28^th June until last Friday, 6^th July, I was trialling a laying system called Easy Money Laying (EML) on the blog.

The system is based on ratings produced by Adrian Massey, and looks for reasonably fancied but lowly rated horses to oppose.

Qualifiers must be between 3/1 and 15/2 at SP, and must not be bigger than 10.4 on betfair.

The service is subscription based, although if you sign up you will also get the formula to calculate qualifiers yourself. It’s 12 steps long, so I prefer to receive the emails!

So how did it perform?

Well, it started rather worryingly, with Squiffy winning at 7/1 on the first day. Thereafter, however, things went rather better with NINETEEN straight losers before General Flumpa went in at 11/2.

In total, out of 27 qualifiers during the trial, 25 were beaten (92.59%), and profits to a rolling 5% of bank (starting with a £400 bank) totalled £143.

These figures are calculated by using 16% over SP as the betfair price, and then deducting 5% commission on all winning trades.

Simply laying each horse to win £20 (or £19 after 5% commission) would have resulted in profits of £185 after all odds inflations and commission deductions were accounted for. (The disparity between this and the 5% of bank approach is because the 7/1 winner appeared so early, and the 5% of bank amount went down to £13).

The system seems to find a lot of slow horses and has been very successful in this short trial.

Long term, the results are impressive, as follows:

Annual Returns:

2000: 206.4 pts profit

2001: 277.9

2002: 156.05

2003: 164.8

2004: 130.5

2005: 226.5

2006: 176.4

2007: 42.65 (YTD)

These returns also account for betfair commissions and inflated odds.

So both the short term and long term potential of this system is proven.

One important point to note is that you will be laying horses at up to 10.0 on betfair and, as such, it’s not for everyone. The recommended bank is 100 points for obvious reasons: anything smaller and a short term loss period could wipe you out.

However, if you buy into the system for the mid to long term, history supports the notion that you will come out comfortably in front.

I highly recommend this system to more experienced layers, and patient bettors (i.e. long term) of any level of expertise.

Full results for the trial period can be seen here:

http://www.nag-nag-nag.co.uk/emlresults.html

Now for the best bit…

You can receive this system free.

You read that correctly. This system’s qualifiers will be emailed to you daily for nothing.

What’s the catch, I hear you ask? Well, there is a condition, of course!

In this case, the Easy Money Laying system is a bonus service provided by the author of a new horse racing systems newsletter, Terry Allen.

I’ve seen the newsletter – indeed, I’m a contributor – so I can vouch for the quality of its content (especially my article! ).

Each month, it reviews a number of horse racing systems for both backing and laying, and pulls no punches in its verdict.

Because Terry charges for the newsletter, he is not in cahoots with any of the product authors. As a result, you can be confident that the reviews are impartial and an honest reflection of the author’s view.

When I discussed mentioning the newsletter on Nag3 with Terry, I asked him if he’d offer a special discount for the first issue to Nag3 readers, or if he’d produce a free sample issue so readers could see what they would get before they spent any hard earned cash.

Bless him, if he hasn’t come up with both!

So, here’s the deal…

You can look at a free sample copy of the newsletter at

http://www.thebettinginsider.com/nnn.htm

From there, you can also sign up for the special rate of £9.99 for the first month, and £17.99 monthly thereafter.

The normal price is £19.99, so Nag3 readers get a free sample, then a heavily discounted first issue (half price), and a 10% discount for the life of your membership.

And of course you get the free lay system qualifiers thrown in. Or, to look at it another way, you get the lay system for £9.99 then £17.99, and you get a free systems newsletter thrown in!

Either way, it’s a standout deal, and by far the best offer I’ve seen for any system anywhere to date.

If that isn’t enough (and it surely is!), Terry offers a 100% money back guarantee as well. (Remember, I only ever promote products where you can get your money back if you’re not happy).

Terry is my kind of guy: he is genuinely interested in providing real winning strategies, AND doing his bit to restore the integrity of horse racing systems as a means of successful betting.

Check this offer out now: http://www.thebettinginsider.com/nnn.htm

Remember, this is ONLY available to Nag3 readers, and it’s only available from this page. (So if you sign up for Terry’s e-course from the above page, remember to use the link here on the blog if you want to pay the discounted rate!)

Matt

Today’s system qualifiers:

Horses noted with a * are currently within the price criteria

*Warw 14.20 – Pugnacity*

Warw 16.05 – Musical Chimes

Warw 17.10 – Last Flight (too short at the moment.)

*Warw 17.40 – Sovietta*

Warw 17.40 – Always Baileys

*Wolv 14.30 – Millsini*
Wolv 14.30 – Kilvickeon

Wolv 15.05 – Oscar Ireland

*Wolv 16.50 – Ochre Bay*

Wolv 16.50 – Soviet Sound

Wolv 17.20 – Grand Lucre

Wolv 17.20 – Day by day.

From the author, Terry, here is a review of the week’s progress. He intends to do this each week, so you’ll easily be able to compare notes.

Yesterday:

Hit a winner yesterday. The system can’t get off the ground it seems at the moment. So far its nothing unusual in terms of results, it’s just one of those churn periods that any system can go through. Some have been asking about recording results. If you ever need to you can input the system’s parameters into Adrian Massey’s site to check the recent and historical performance (http://www.adrianmassey.com/sel/index.php).

Other than that I’ve recently been proofing to www.racing-index.com . If you go to the proofing section ‘The Betting Insider’ lays are there in the section of people with few tips near the bottom somewhere. I’ve also been taking note of the same lays and noting the actual prices matched whether they came within the criteria or not.

I’ve included this update below and will send out each Friday. You’ll note I haven’t included the two horses mentioned the other day which don’t appear to have been matched because their prices were over 10.5. Spume was also close yesterday and may not have been matched by some. In the interest of fairness I’ve only noted the lays since proofing to Racing Index and have listed returns to prices matched with 5% betfair commission. For lays before this you can check yourself via Adrian Massey’s site.

Date	Race	Horse	SP	Price matched	W/L	Return	Profits	% over SP
25/06/2007	Muss 14.00	Champage Cracker	5.50	6.4	1 span>	0.95	0.95	16.36%
25/06/2007	Muss 17.00	River Club	3 1/2	4.6	1	0.95	1.9	31.43%
25/06/2007	Wolv 3.15	Time Share	5	6.6	0	-6.6	-4.7	32.00%
26/06/2007	Brig 15.30	Lawyer to world	3 1/2	4.1	0	-4.1	-8.8	17.14%
26/06/2007	Brig 16.30	posts Profit	7 1/2	e="font-size: 8pt;">9.5	1	0.95	-7.85	26.67%
26/06/2007	Brig 17.00	Talcen Gwyn	5 1/2	6.7	1	0.95	-6.9	21.82%
26/06/2007	Newb 20.40	Toccata	6	5.8	1	0.95	-5.95	-3.33%
27/06/2007	Salis 15.20	Algarde	6	9.5	1	0.95	-5	58.33%
27/06/2007	Salis 17.10	Mr Grand Lodge	7 1/2	7.6	1	0.95	-4.05	1.33%
28/06/2007	Newc 17.00	Kunte Kinteh	6	6.6	1	0.95	-3.1	10.00%
28/06/2007	Yarm 15.40	Celtic Memories	5 1/2	7	1	0.95	-2.15	27.27%
28/06/2007	Yarm 15.40	Rotation	4	6.7	1	0.95	-1.2	67.50%
28/06/2007	Warw 15.50	Squiffy	7	7.8	0	-7.8	-9	11.43%
28/06/2007	Warw 16.20	Feeling Wonderful	4 1/2	5.25	1	0.95	-8.05	16.67%
28/06/2007	Warw 16.50	Snake Hips	7 1/2	7.3	1	0.95	-7.1	-2.67%
28/06/2007	Warw 16.50	Hopefull Isabella	6	6.5	1	0.95	-6.15	8.33%
yle="font-size: 8pt;">29/06/2007	Warw 16.20	Six of hearts	7	8.3	1	0.95	-5.2	18.57%
02/07/2007	Ponte 14.15	Riguez Dancer	7	8.8	1	0.95	-4.25	25.71%
02/07/2007	Ponte 14.45	Nice to Know	6 1/2	8.2	1	0.95	-3.3	26.15%
02/07/2007	Ponte 15.45	Aye Aye Definitely	4 1/2	5.7	1	0.95	-2.35	"text-align: right;" align="right">26.67%
02/07/2007	Ponte 16.15	Sadlers Kingdon	4 1/2	5.5	1	0.95	-1.4	22.22%
02/07/2007	Ponte 17.15	Moonstreaker	7	8.4	1	0.95	-0.45	20.00%
02/07/2007	Wolv 14.30	Nashharry	6	7.8	1	0.95	0.5	30.00%
03/07/2007	Ham 14.45	View From The Top	5 1/2	6.2	1	0.95	rap="nowrap" valign="bottom" width="44"> 1.45	12.73%
03/07/2007	Ham 15.15	The Mighy Ogmore	7	8.2	1	0.95	2.4	17.14%
03/07/2007	Brig 16.00	Proposal	7	9	1	0.95	3.35	28.57%
03/07/2007	Brigh 16.30	Fun In The Sun	7	8.6	1	0.95	4.3	22.86%
04/07/2007	Kemp	Stoneacre Gareth	7	8.6	1	0.95	5.25	22.86%
05/07/2007	Yarm	A Mothers Love	6	6.9	1	0.95	6.2	15.00%
05/07/2007	Yarm	General Flumpa	5 1/2	6.4	0	-6.4	-0.2	16.36%
05/07/2007	Newb 20.40	Spume	7	9.5	1	0.95	0.75	35.71%

Hello everyone from ridiculously balmy Las Vegas. It’s an astonishing 47C here (that’s 117F!), so taxis are the order of the day and there is a need to stay in as much as possible.

I was with my friend Gavin at the signin for the World Series of Poker. If you remember, Gavin won an online satellite tournament (beating almost 1200 other people) to book his place here. That meants Pokerstars.com gave him the $10,000 entry fee. Yes, you read that right.

It costs about £5,000 to enter the WSoP. And you know what? They were queueing around the block to hand their cash over today. I’ve never seen anything like it. But then, that’s probably the most overused statement in Las Vegas.

Looking at the last couple of day’s action, and Easy Money Laying has continued to perform with credit, although it did incur its second reverse today, when the 11/2 shot General Flumpa scooted up in an amateur riders’ race.

My own laying records show that these races are not to be trusted, and as a general rule of thumb, its best to leave them alone. However, for the record, Flumpa counts as a hit to our bank and the current balance of payments is a notional £147 in our favour.

The tale of the tape to date is as follows:

Bets	25
Losers	23
Lose %	92.00

From a personal point of view, if I was looking to take one on Friday, it would be opposing Siberian Tiger in the 3.40 Wolverhampton. The Tiger is new to all weather racing, and faces rivals who have shown they can act on it (especially Cosmic Art and L’Art du Silence). As I can’t get access to betfair from the States however, I’ll not be partaking.

I did have my first bet today. Not being a fan of casino gambling, I still enjoy the odd flutter on the US races. I made a horse a strong chance to be in the first two, at 7/1. His only rival was the 4/5 favourite. I backed the 7/1 shot, who duly gave best to the 4/5 jolly. A small $10 exacta saved my bacon and put me a few coins in front.

I’ll be back later with the Easy Money selections for Friday, plus my view on the world’s greatest race, Le Tour de France.

Matt

Today’s system qualifiers:

Horses noted with a * are currently within the price criteria

*Yarm 16.30 - A Mothers Love*
Yarm 16.30 - Watchmaker
*Yarm 16.30 - Arabiyah*
Yarm 17.00 - Longhill Tiger
*Yarm 17.00 - General Flumpa*
Yarm 17.00 - Shaika

Newb 18.20 - Atticus Trophies
Newb 19.25 - Sonning Star
Newb 19.55 - Spume

Warw 20.05 Wizby

Yesterday:

3/3 from yesterday in theory, but it appears we weren’t matched on Rothesay Dancer or Miacarla. I’m not sure if this it Auto Betfair playing up or if the prices were over the limits on betfair. I’d like to know how you got on, so please do email in with details of your own lay prices from yesterday.

Guidelines:

Remember these horses should only be layed if their SP is between 3/1 and 15/2.
If you are using a bot such as auto betfair set your parameters to 4.4 and 10.4.
Whatever method you use, never lay anything higher than 10.4. You may lay below 4.4 only if the SP is still 3/1.

The laying system is proven long term, but we will take some hits along the way. We can’t make an omelette without cracking any eggs. If we experience a loss today, don’t worry too much. Keep your staking disciplined and 6 months down the line we should be in a healthy profit.

Hello again, just a quick line with today’s Easy Money Laying choices. Remember, we’re up a notional £180 with all deductions accounted for, so far this week.

Here’s the picks:

All choices must be 3/1 to 15/2 at SP and less than 10.5 on the exchange to qualify.

Tomorrow’s selections may be posted retrospectively, as I’ll be flying at around 10 am. If I receive them prior to this, I’ll post from my mobile phone as per my previous sojourn. I can not, of course, make any promises on this score.

Haven’t really looked, and don’t really fancy anything, today - its pretty mediocre fare, in truth.

If I were to try to get one beat (and I still might, my indiscipline being bound to get the better of me!), it would be Fromsong in the first race at Kempton tonight.

I’m currently rushing around like the proverbial fly with the blue behind, trying to get my 5h1t together for Vegas.

I’ll be posting from there later in the week, with poker news and, more importantly, some Vegas odds on the Breeders’ Cup. Let’s see if we can’t sniff out some value on the Euro horses.

cp
Matt

Hello again dear reader, and welcome to the Summer!

Yes, that’s right its glorious July in Britain, and - of course - it’s p1551ng down. Meetings abandones, matches abandoned, tennis abandoned, any hope of sun tan abandoned.

That is, unless your friend happens to be an extremely good poker player. Fortunately for me, my good mate Gavin is just that. And to prove it, he won a tournament with pokerstars.com that has earned him a seat at the World Series of Poker in good old Las Vegas!

As part of pokerstars.com drive for world domination, they called Gavin and asked him if he’d wear their shirt and cap in exchange for $2,000. Gavin politely replied, “Sir, for $2,000, I’ll wear a pokerstars dress!”

That tale may or may not be apocryphal, but the long and short of it is that I will be heading to Nevada on Thursday morning and stopping out there for five days or so, or until Gavin gets knocked out of the tournament.

If you have more money than sense - and let’s face it, most of us punters do! - you can back Gavin to make the top 10 with bluesq, who very generously (not) offer 300/1 about our Gareth Southgate lookeylikey hero going all the way to the final table.

Looking back at the weekend, it was good for me and better for TrainerFlatStats followers. I managed to lay four short priced losers, and back a 12/1 TFS winner. Indeed, it was the only TFS runner over the weekend, and paid for a good few beers Saturday night. (Didn’t quite run to the Anadin Sunday morning though).

By the way, I’m thinking of starting a Munsef Fan Club. He’s the equine equivalent of many a British sporting hero - bags of talent, but a complete professional loser with the wrong mindset to ever mix it with the best and come out in front. He is lay heaven!

To today, and the monsoons threaten yet more of our beloved sport. Currently all meetings are scheduled to proceed, but caution is advised. Especially so at Windsor, where they’ve moved the rails to find better ground. Nothing wrong with this in itself, but if your horse gets beaten a head and is in front a stride after the line, you can write to the clerk of the course and complain about the race being run over shy of the correct distance!

I am going to try to get another shortie beaten today (is there any other way?!), and the charming young lady in question is May Day Queen in the 8.00 at Goodwood.

Although she has already placed in a Group 3 in Ireland, this little filly almost drowned in another Group 3 at Royal Ascot. That race could well have left its mark; I suspect she didn’t like the sod that day; and there are a goodly number of unexposed types in here that could improve past her.

At around about 6/4, she will do for me.

Finally, today’s Easy Laying System selections are as follows (horses with an asterisk are currently within the price criteria):

Remember horses must be between 3/1 and 15/2 SP, and betfair odds must be no bigger than 10.5 to qualify.

Finally finally, a joke on Monday to stave off the start of another week of tedium (though I’m sure many of you enjoy work!):

A young jockey and his stable lass girlfriend make the decision to get married. Everything is planned and the couple intend to honeymoon in Italy for a week. The marriage goes without a hitch and the couple set off on their honeymoon. While checking in the lady behind the desk asks ‘We have two suites available for you, would you like the bridal?’ ‘No thanks says the jockey I’ll just hold her ears till she gets the hang of it!’

ttfn
Matt

Only two qualifiers yesterday in the end, and both lost. Despite finding eight losers from nine selections to date, the one winner at 7/1 means we’re £10 down, laying to win a notional £20 per horse.

Easy Laying System doesn’t make selections on weekends, so there’ll be more on this on Monday.

Today’s racing action looks very soggy, and I suspect there’ll be plenty of shock results.

After being a shade unlucky yesterday when laying Itsmyboy at 4/9, when Oniztoes clouted the penultimate fence and gifted the race to his opponent, I’m going to row in again with a short one.

The nag in question is my dear old friend, ahem, Munsef. He did win last time in one of those “No, no, after you” type affairs between professional losers, and I reckon he’s a bit more on his plate today.

Around evens limits the liabilities and I’m happy to oppose.

I’m also against Lady Friend at Chester. One slow turf run and some unexposed contenders mean she’s underpriced and may struggle to get home in front.

After also just missing out yesterday with my selections finishing 2nd, 3rd and 5th in the Gosforth Cup (winner drawn low, next five home drawn high), I’m going to try again at Newcastle today, where the going is heavy.

Fullandby and Zomerlust both love to get their hooves stuck in the mud and are distance specialists, so I reckon they’ll have it between them. I’ll be having a decent poke at both, and possibly even a small reverse exacta.

At Chester, I’m going with box 1 again in the sprint handicap. Efistorm was a winner last time and I reckon will track the Coconut Moon, before pulling past her in the dash to the lolly.

I like my chances today - let’s hope that’s not a bock!

Happy Soggy Saturday, Matt

Quick post to notify you of today’s selections, subject to the odds criteria outlined yesterday:

Ok, so here goes… A new system which we will track here for a fortnight. Now, before I crack on with today’s selections, a few words about the parameters for this system.

Selections only qualify for laying if their SP is between 3/1 and 15/2 AND their Betfair price is between 4.4 and 10.4.

Compared with the other systems reviewed on these pages previously, the horses we’re taking on here are clearly a little longer priced and, as a result, you will need a degree more fortitude and discipline for this if, as could happen, we start with a winner (Heaven forbid!).

So, to the chase… Today’s selections, subject to meeting the above price criteria, are: