Hello again, dear reader, and I must say it’s great to be back.
As much as I love dossing about on a boat in the sunshine, eating gorgeous fresh Mediterranean (or Adriatic to be precise) food, I have to say that I missed you. Sad, and open to questions of sincerity, but I really do enjoy sharing my thoughts on here.
So, having missed my little daily catharses, I am redoubled in my efforts to make this read a bright spot in your day.
So How Was It For You?
Apparently, there was a little horseracing event last week… 
I’ve seen the results, though none of the races, and - judging by the SP’s - finding winners was tough but rewarding.
The going changes would have made life still more difficult no doubt. I wonder, did they go under the trees in the races around the turn? That would have rendered the Ascot round the turn system less effective.
Well, I’m happy to report that I broke even on the week. I had no bets, no losers, and no winners, and my feet are itchy for action.
TFS Performance
As you know, due to limited access to email last week, I was posting the TrainerFlatStats runners here. TFS is a slightly different animal to the laying systems, and it’s not for everyone as there are fairly frequent losing runs.
These are offset by nice priced winners, such as yesterday’s 7/1 gold medallist, Thewhirlingdervish.
Overall, the week was as follows:
15 qualifiers (after non-runners and 16/1+ horses excluded)
4 winners (one dead heat)
£85 profit to normal £20 stakes
£120 profit if using betfair
You can find out more about TrainerFlatStats at www.trainerflatstats.com or from the Premium Systems tab on the nag3 homepage (www.nag-nag-nag.co.uk)
The Inside Track
One of the good things about the sailing week in Croatia was that I re-read a brilliant book called ‘The Inside Track’. It’s written by Alan Potts, a pro punter, and is absolutely packed with fantastic good sense and betting tips. I’ll relay some of these to you over the coming days, and heartily recommend it.
I was surprised pleasantly to recognise how far my own punting has evolved since I first read the book, and how much of his ideas have absorbed themselves in my own strategy.
I think this is a key point for anyone even semi-serious about their betting: there is no silver bullet for finding winners (or losers). Rather, you have to adapt different people’s ideas, in conjunction with your own, to produce a pastiche that fits your mindset.
This of course is an iterative process that lasts as long as you punt, because trends always change. What worked last season is not guaranteed to work this season.
Today
I fancy one at Windsor tonight. The usual high draw bias is reversed on genuinely soft ground, which it is likely to be tonight. Brendan Powell was a great friend of TrainerTrackStats punters over the winter, and he is most definitely a trainer going places.
You’d be well served to look out for anything he runs, as they’re popping up at juicy prices regularly enough.
Tonight he saddles Eau Good, who is a well drawn course and distance runner, who stays further than this. He is proven on the ground and - at around 15/2 looks cracking value.
Right, it’s high time I caught up with some work. Until next post…
Matt