A few trainer stats for Aintree

Over the last 6 years the trainer with the best record at the Aintree Festival has undoubtedly been COLIN TIZZARD

Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
46 12 26.09% 117.49 22 47.83%

He had a blank year in 2014 when all 6 of his runners finished unplaced but showed nice profits in all of the other 5 years including 2017 where he had an incredible 5 winners from 11 runners and made a 77pt profit at SP.

Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 15 2 13% 3.5 6 40%
2017 11 5 45% 77 6 55%
2016 5 3 60% 4.99 5 100%
2015 4 1 25% 22 2 50%
2014 6 0 0% -6 0 0%
2013 5 1 20% 16 3 60%

His figures stack up in any race you care to look at; Hurdles, Chases, handicaps, non-handicaps - his runners all show a profit in the last 6 years. He's had winners at every age from 5yo - 11yo and at just about every distance from 2 miles to 3m 1f.

Over the last 6 years his record in Grade 1 races is a staggering 8 wins and 6 places from 20 runners.

10 of his 12 winners also ran at Cheltenham and show a LSP of +97.49pts but don't be put off by any of his runners not having run at the big March Festival as those types are 2 wins from 10 runners for a LSP of +20pts.

It doesn't seem to matter what the race, Colin Tizzard has the horse for the job.

SYSTEM: BACK EVERY RUNNER FROM THE COLIN TIZZARD STABLE AT AINTREE


If you disregard his Grand National runners, NICKY HENDERSON has a fairly decent record in the Aintree Handicaps with a number of angles worth noting.

Simply backing all his 6yo handicap runners at Aintree at distances up to 2m6f would have given you figures of 5 winners and a place from 14 runners for a LSP of +61pts (since 2012)

or

Backing his Aintree handicap runners at distances up to 2m6f that had raced in the last 21-45 days would have given you figures of 6 winners and 7 places from 33 runners for a LSP of +47pts (since 2012)

But probably the best way to go is to back Nicky Henderson runners that satisfy these 4 criteria;

  • Handicaps up to 2m6f
  • 5-8yo's
  • Last ran 3 weeks to 3 months ago
  • Rated 132+

That would have given you figures of...

Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
25 7 28.00% 70.00 13 52.00%

And profits in 5 of the last 7 years...

Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 4 0 0% -4 2 50%
2017 4 1 25% 7 3 75%
2016 1 0 0% -1 0 0%
2015 5 2 40% 14 2 40%
2014 3 1 33% 7 2 67%
2013 4 2 50% 22 2 50%
2012 4 1 25% 25 2 50%

Here are some interesting numbers regarding Trainer records with horses that didn't run at Cheltenham last time out (all races over the last 12 years)

Trainer Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
Mullins, W P 49 0 0% -49.00 11 22%
Williams, Evan 37 0 0% -37.00 10 27%
Moore, G L 30 0 0% -30.00 3 10%
Skelton, Daniel 26 0 0% -26.00 7 27%
Richards, N G 24 0 0% -24.00 6 25%
Curtis, Miss Rebecca 22 0 0% -22.00 4 18%

And finally.....

Over the last 6 years PAUL NICHOLLS runners in the Aintree Handicaps have produced the following figures...

Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
66 0 0.00% -66.00 4 6.06%

His last 16 handicap runners have all finished UNPLACED!!

Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2018 6 0 0% -6 0 0%
2017 10 0 0% -10 0 0%
2016 14 0 0% -14 2 14%
2015 10 0 0% -10 1 10%
2014 12 0 0% -12 1 8%
2013 14 0 0% -14 0 0%

Urrgh. Might be worth avoiding those types for the time being!

Good luck,
Gavin.

Thursday Qualifiers:

Tizzard

Elegant Escape 2.50 Grade 1 LOST
Molineaux 4.40 LOST

Henderson

Whatswrongwithyou 4.40 LOST

Friday Qualifiers:

Tizzard

Lostintranslation 2.50 Grade 1 WON 3/1
Master Debonair 5.15

Henderson

Janika & Divine Spear 4.40

Saturday Qualifiers:

Tizzard

Reserve Tank 2.25 Grade 1
Kilbricken Storm & West Approach 3.40 Grade 1
Mister Malarkey 4.20
Ultragold 5.15

Henderson

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