Over the last 6 years the trainer with the best record at the Aintree Festival has undoubtedly been COLIN TIZZARD
| Bets | Wins | WinStrike | SP_PL | Places | PlaceStrike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 12 | 26.09% | 117.49 | 22 | 47.83% |
He had a blank year in 2014 when all 6 of his runners finished unplaced but showed nice profits in all of the other 5 years including 2017 where he had an incredible 5 winners from 11 runners and made a 77pt profit at SP.
| Period | Bets | Wins | WinStrike | SP_PL | Places | PlaceStrike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 15 | 2 | 13% | 3.5 | 6 | 40% |
| 2017 | 11 | 5 | 45% | 77 | 6 | 55% |
| 2016 | 5 | 3 | 60% | 4.99 | 5 | 100% |
| 2015 | 4 | 1 | 25% | 22 | 2 | 50% |
| 2014 | 6 | 0 | 0% | -6 | 0 | 0% |
| 2013 | 5 | 1 | 20% | 16 | 3 | 60% |
His figures stack up in any race you care to look at; Hurdles, Chases, handicaps, non-handicaps - his runners all show a profit in the last 6 years. He's had winners at every age from 5yo - 11yo and at just about every distance from 2 miles to 3m 1f.
Over the last 6 years his record in Grade 1 races is a staggering 8 wins and 6 places from 20 runners.
10 of his 12 winners also ran at Cheltenham and show a LSP of +97.49pts but don't be put off by any of his runners not having run at the big March Festival as those types are 2 wins from 10 runners for a LSP of +20pts.
It doesn't seem to matter what the race, Colin Tizzard has the horse for the job.
SYSTEM: BACK EVERY RUNNER FROM THE COLIN TIZZARD STABLE AT AINTREE
If you disregard his Grand National runners, NICKY HENDERSON has a fairly decent record in the Aintree Handicaps with a number of angles worth noting.
Simply backing all his 6yo handicap runners at Aintree at distances up to 2m6f would have given you figures of 5 winners and a place from 14 runners for a LSP of +61pts (since 2012)
or
Backing his Aintree handicap runners at distances up to 2m6f that had raced in the last 21-45 days would have given you figures of 6 winners and 7 places from 33 runners for a LSP of +47pts (since 2012)
But probably the best way to go is to back Nicky Henderson runners that satisfy these 4 criteria;
- Handicaps up to 2m6f
- 5-8yo's
- Last ran 3 weeks to 3 months ago
- Rated 132+
That would have given you figures of...
| Bets | Wins | WinStrike | SP_PL | Places | PlaceStrike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 7 | 28.00% | 70.00 | 13 | 52.00% |
And profits in 5 of the last 7 years...
| Period | Bets | Wins | WinStrike | SP_PL | Places | PlaceStrike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 4 | 0 | 0% | -4 | 2 | 50% |
| 2017 | 4 | 1 | 25% | 7 | 3 | 75% |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0% | -1 | 0 | 0% |
| 2015 | 5 | 2 | 40% | 14 | 2 | 40% |
| 2014 | 3 | 1 | 33% | 7 | 2 | 67% |
| 2013 | 4 | 2 | 50% | 22 | 2 | 50% |
| 2012 | 4 | 1 | 25% | 25 | 2 | 50% |
Here are some interesting numbers regarding Trainer records with horses that didn't run at Cheltenham last time out (all races over the last 12 years)
| Trainer | Bets | Wins | WinStrike | SP_PL | Places | PlaceStrike | |
| Mullins, W P | 49 | 0 | 0% | -49.00 | 11 | 22% | |
| Williams, Evan | 37 | 0 | 0% | -37.00 | 10 | 27% | |
| Moore, G L | 30 | 0 | 0% | -30.00 | 3 | 10% | |
| Skelton, Daniel | 26 | 0 | 0% | -26.00 | 7 | 27% | |
| Richards, N G | 24 | 0 | 0% | -24.00 | 6 | 25% | |
| Curtis, Miss Rebecca | 22 | 0 | 0% | -22.00 | 4 | 18% |
And finally.....
Over the last 6 years PAUL NICHOLLS runners in the Aintree Handicaps have produced the following figures...
| Bets | Wins | WinStrike | SP_PL | Places | PlaceStrike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0 | 0.00% | -66.00 | 4 | 6.06% |
His last 16 handicap runners have all finished UNPLACED!!
| Period | Bets | Wins | WinStrike | SP_PL | Places | PlaceStrike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 6 | 0 | 0% | -6 | 0 | 0% |
| 2017 | 10 | 0 | 0% | -10 | 0 | 0% |
| 2016 | 14 | 0 | 0% | -14 | 2 | 14% |
| 2015 | 10 | 0 | 0% | -10 | 1 | 10% |
| 2014 | 12 | 0 | 0% | -12 | 1 | 8% |
| 2013 | 14 | 0 | 0% | -14 | 0 | 0% |
Urrgh. Might be worth avoiding those types for the time being!
Good luck,
Gavin.
Thursday Qualifiers:
Tizzard
Elegant Escape 2.50 Grade 1 LOST
Molineaux 4.40 LOST
Henderson
Whatswrongwithyou 4.40 LOST
Friday Qualifiers:
Tizzard
Lostintranslation 2.50 Grade 1 WON 3/1
Master Debonair 5.15
Henderson
Janika & Divine Spear 4.40
Saturday Qualifiers:
Tizzard
Reserve Tank 2.25 Grade 1
Kilbricken Storm & West Approach 3.40 Grade 1
Mister Malarkey 4.20
Ultragold 5.15
Henderson
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