A few trainer stats for Aintree

Over the last 5 years the trainer with the best record at the Aintree Festival has undoubtedly been COLIN TIZZARD

Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
31 10 32.26% 113.99 16 51.61%

He had a blank year in 2014 when all 6 of his runners finished unplaced but showed nice profits in all of the other 4 years including 2017 where he had an incredible 5 winners from 11 runners and made a 77pt profit at SP.

His figures stack up in any race you care to look at; Hurdles, Chases, handicaps, non-handicaps - his runners all show a profit in the last 5 years. He's had winners at every age from 5yo - 11yo and at just about every distance from 2 miles to 3m 1f.

Over the last 5 years his record in Grade 1 races is a staggering 7 wins and 3 places from 12 runners.

8 of his 10 winners also ran at Cheltenham and show a LSP of +90.99pts but don't be put off by any of his runners not having run at the big March Festival as those types are 2 wins from 7 runners for a LSP of +23pts.

It doesn't seem to matter what the race, Colin Tizzard has the horse for the job.

SYSTEM: BACK EVERY RUNNER FROM THE COLIN TIZZARD STABLE AT AINTREE


If you disregard his Grand National runners, NICKY HENDERSON has a fairly decent record in the Aintree Handicaps with a number of angles worth noting.

Simply backing all his 6yo handicap runners at Aintree at distances up to 2m6f would have given you figures of 5 winners and a place from 14 runners for a LSP of +62pts (since 2012)

or

Backing his Aintree handicap runners at distances up to 2m6f that had raced in the last 21-45 days would have given you figures of 6 winners and 5 places from 29 runners for a LSP of +51pts (since 2012)

But probably the best way to go is to back Nicky Henderson runners that satisfy these 4 criteria;

  • Handicaps up to 2m6f
  • 5-8yo's
  • Last ran 3 weeks to 3 months ago
  • Rated 132+

That would have given you figures of...

Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
21 7 33.33% 74.00 11 52.38%

And profits in 5 of the last 6 years...

Period Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
2017 4 1 25% 7 3 75%
2016 1 0 0% -1 0 0%
2015 5 2 40% 14 2 40%
2014 3 1 33% 7 2 67%
2013 4 2 50% 22 2 50%
2012 4 1 25% 25 2 50%

 


Here are some interesting numbers regarding Trainer records with horses that didn't run at the Cheltenham Festival (all races over the last 10 years)

Trainer Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
Mullins, W P 40 0 0% -40.00 10 25%
Williams, Evan 33 0 0% -33.00 8 24%
Moore, G L 26 0 0% -26.00 3 12%
Longsdon, C E 25 0 0% -25.00 1 4%
Hughes, D T 24 0 0% -24.00 4 17%
Richards, N G 22 0 0% -22.00 5 23%
Curtis, Miss Rebecca 22 0 0% -22.00 4 18%

And finally.....

Over the last 5 years PAUL NICHOLLS runners in the Aintree Handicaps have produced the following figures...

Bets Wins WinStrike SP_PL Places PlaceStrike
60 0 0.00% -60.00 4 6.67%

Urrgh. Might be worth avoiding those types for the time being!

Good luck,
Gavin.

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