1) Youmzain is not unlucky….

All this talk in the racing pages about how unlucky Youmzain is, drives me mad. His last 17 races have all been in Group 1 company, he’s never been out of the top 5 including two wins and he’s managed to accumulate over £3 million in win and place prize money.  If that’s unlucky then I want an unlucky horse for Christmas. He’s held up, he finishes fast but he never gets there in time - that’s just his style of running. You couldn’t call him ungenuine as he tries as hard as any but you can’t call him unlucky either as he’s had plenty of opportunities to win. The reality is, he’ll always run the same gallant race but he will always find one or more too good for him no matter how weak or how strong the contest. You get the feeling he’d be just as happy finishing 2nd in a seller at Folkestone as he would finishing 2nd in the Prix De L’Arc de Triomphe.

Devon Loch, now that’s unlucky!

2) Newmarket is not the place to bet at the end of the season….

After Saturday’s nightmare on the betting front I’ll be taking extreme caution at the forthcoming Cesarewitch meeting. The results on Cambridgeshire day were the type we used to pray for when we owned our betting shops. Unfortunately they rarely occured.
Oasis Dancer beaten easily in a Goodwood maiden comes out and wins a £1/2 million+ race beating a large field including a Group 1 winner
Saphresa beaten in a poor Group 3 race last time out takes the big Group 1 race of the day and in doing so defeats a dual Group 1 winner and reigning 1000 Guineas Champion.
Supaseus woefully out of form this season decides that the 36 runner Cambridgeshire Handicap would be a good time to return to his best
Aldemoor then takes a leaf out of Supaseus’s book and wins the class 2 handicap later in the afternoon at an unfancied 25/1 having not been sighted in any run this year.

A disastrous days punting.

3) If it looks to good to be true….

it usually is. It’s an old maxim but one that is never more correct than when dealing with racehorses. On all known form and ratings Angels Pursuit was a good thing for Saturday’s 2yo Trophy. His second to Awzaan in a Group 2 had been boosted the day before and the race in my opinion was his for the taking. I manged to get 5/2 about something I thought would be odds on, which should have set the alarm bells ringing, and then went in again at the opening show of 9/4. The horse then put in a laboured display and never got competitive adding another nail to my punting coffin.

4) Backing fillies at the end of the season is a VERY BAD idea…..

I said it in my post on Saturday but still went ahead and backed them anyway so I have only myself to blame. The female of any species are hard to fathom at the best of times but given a hard season and colder weather racehorses seem to be nigh on impossible to work out at this stage of the year. Ghanaati, Midday, Stacelita, Goldikova are 4 reasons why I won’t be backing fillies at the end of next years flat season.

5) Nicky Henderson’s ban was the most pointless ever handed out by racings rulers….

It’s good news for Royal trainer Nicky Henderson who can start having runners again from this Sunday having served his three month ban for using illegal drugs on his horses. I bet he’s really struggled this summer not being able to send his horses to Newton Abbot and the hardship of having to miss Perth at the end of September must have been unbearable. Oh how he must have missed the delights of Sedgefield in late August. Over the last 5 years he has averaged just 14 runners from June to September which when you consider he ran 499 horses for the 2008-09 season represents less than 3% of his yearly stable entries. Hardly the most sever punishment ever handed out by the BHB….

———-

OOPS…

I wrongly said in yesterday’s Post that the ball landed in 8 black on Derren Browns Roulette scam program. This was however the number he incorrectly guessed would come up.

The actual number the ball landed in was 30 RED (next number along from 8). All those people who guessed RED are therefore through to the next round. Sorry for the mix-up.
I blame Derren Brown and all that mind control stuff.

Good luck,
Gavin.

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