Hi All,

Well I have berated my luck over the last few weeks with several of my selections trading at very short odds in running only to get caught. I think we got all our luck paid back in one go with yesterdays Warwick winner Plum Pudding. We looked all set for yet another runners up spot when a loose horse had the last say when standing on the winning line right in front of the leader causing him to put the brakes on and allow us to get up on the line. With that success we finished 2011 up by 64.75pts. Lets see if 2012 can be as good…

1.35 Cheltenham RICHARDS SUNDANCE 11/2 PP & WH: finished 2nd in this race last year of a 7lb higher mark, his 4th to Le Beau Bai at Chepstow last time out now has a very good look to it.

2.10 Cheltenham CALGARY BAY 8/1 PP & WH: 4 of his last 5 runs have come over this CD in top quality handicaps, this again is a high quality race with several runners I have tipped in recent weeks(Cape Tribulation & Crescent Island), but off only 10-04 I really think he will run a big race.

2.25 Musselburgh DHAULAR DHAR 50/1 WH: a longshot who is worth a little ew bet, not been running that well over hurdles of late but has bits and pieces of form that would enable him to run a big race.

3.00 Musselburgh RIGUEZ DANCER 16/1 BET365: has some decent form to his name and finished 32length 12 of 23 behind Oiseau De Nuit at Cheltenham, finished 3rd of 4 last time after having a heavy fall at Newbury the time before.
Happy New Year to All and lets hope for a very prosperous one.
Good Luck
Gary

Hi All, a very poor days racing today, some interesting races to watch but not particularly great betting propositions, but I have managed to find a couple of interest..

12.20 Newbury PRESENT TO YOU 20/1 Bet365: In hindsight he had absolutely no chance on his last 2 runs, last time out he tried to give 23lbs to last Tuesdays very easy Chepstow winner Quincy Des Picton, who would now have to concede 12lb should they meet. He didn’t actually run that badly in that Ludlow race or indeed in the Hereford race where he met Invictus who has gone up 30lb since they met in mid November. Prior to those two pulled ups he had shown some good form which would give him an EW chance here. 

2.20 Warwick PLUM PUDDING 20/1 Corals,Ladbrokes, VC: Won two 3 mile handicap chases last season before pulling up as fav in the Devon National at Exeter, finished a good 4th on debut this season but was disappointing last time over 3m2f at Hereford, needs to put that run behind him but this is a poor race.

1pt ew Present To You 20/1
1pt ew Plum Pudding 20/1
0.5pt ew dbl 20/1 & 16/1 Bet365 BOG

I’ll be back tomorrow with a look at Cheltenhams New Years Day card

Good Luck
Gary

Hi All,
Wow wasn’t it good to see Kauto Star make history again, what a superb race.

Not a good day for me (and anyone who followed me) yesterday, so we’ll move straight onto todays…. 

1.00 STOW 9/1 tipped him a few weeks back over this CD on similar ground, he ran well in 4th that day and I’m expecting another bold show here.

1.30 PLEIN POUVOIR 12/1 another I tipped last time out where he too finished 4th and let us down for a very nice place treble, that day he traveled very well until weakening in the home straight, he did however win very easily over CD back in February and a repeat of that form would see him go very close.

2.10 BLAZING BAILEY 28/1 I really fancy this one, available at 33’s for the last week or so. As a hurdler he ran placed in 2 World Hurdles, 3rd in the triumph hurdle as well as winning at the Aintree festival and the Grade 1 Punchestown Stayers Hurdle. He hasn’t been seen to the same levels over fences but I’m very confident of an improved run here. He did win 2 chases last season, both over extreme distances on soft ground and he has winning form on heavy ground. Looking for alternatives I also like the look of Mumbles Head(50/1) and Bench Warrent(66/1) and from the more fancied runners Any Currency (14/1) would be my best bet.
Please remember to shop around for some value in particular any firm that are paying 1st 5 places, especially as the ground is very heavy, there may only be a few finishers.

2pts win Stow 9/1 WH & VC
1pts EW Plein Pouvoir 12/1 Corals
2pts EW Blazing Bailey 25/1 Bet365 BOG & 1st 5 Places
1pt  EW Mumbles Head 50/1 Bet365 BOG & 1st 5 Places

10pts staked in total(+53.75pts)

Good Luck
Gary

Hi All, hope you all had a great Christmas day eating & drinking too much. I spent my day making Lego sets, playing Championship Jockey on the PS3 and cooking dinner. Now that’s all behind us we can look forward to the real reason we all enjoy the Christmas period, Boxing Day and the Kempton King George meeting. 

After last weeks effort where we were very unlucky not to have had at least one winner, we however did still manage a small profit which puts us on +59.75pts.

SCOTER FONTAINE 1,25 Kempton 10/1 General, was running well until UR 3 out at Ascot last time and the subsequent winner of that race has gone on to win again, so he maybe better than his form would suggest.

SARANDO 1.45 Wetherby 8/1 General, was in the process of running a great race in the Hennessy when falling, has Knockara Beau to beat.

DIAMOND HARRY 3.10 Kempton 16/1 General, ran an encouraging race on his debut at Haydock behind a rejuvenated Kauto Star and Long Run. One of the more likely ones to still be going at the end as the race looks to lack stayers. Captain Chris trip too far, Master Minded same, Nacarat not good enough, Golan Way same, Somersby bit of both. Kauto Star too old and Long Run still keeps running the odd disappointing race. This leaves Diamond Harry as a very tempting 16/1 EW shot.

HILDISVINI 3.40 Kempton 20/1 General, ran up a sequence last season, had 2 runs this term so should now be at peak fitness, booking of Jason Maguire to ride for C. Longsdon looks interesting.

Good Luck
Gary

PS Blazing Bailey at 33/1 in the Welsh National will be my selection and I will give it a good write up tomorrow

Work is still on the agenda and it’s getting busier by the day.

So I’m going to try every route possible between now and Christmas to win myself a million and give up work. Sort of like a fun gambling advent calendar to count down to Christmas here are my attempts to win a million in 31 days……

NUMBER 12: POKER (SUNDAY 18TH)

The worlds largest poker site, Pokerstars, celebrates its 10th birthday this month and today the highlight of their celebrations is a $10 million tournament with at least $2 million going to the winner. That sounds too good to miss!

Poker is a game of skill but you also need a lot of luck which makes it a perfect gambling game. To win a tournament of this nature you require a lot of the former and even more of the latter. As a poker player I’m okay and I’ve had some nice wins in my time but I’ll be a bit out of my league in this game and I’ll be relying on getting a huge amount of luck throughout the night. It starts at 7.30pm and will go on through the night for those lucky enough to avoid being knocked out. Hopefully I’ll still be going strong when I should be getting ready to go to work……

Chances of making you a millionaire?

With Pokerstars adding a lot of money to the prizepool and an expected field of around 25,000 this has to be my best chance ever of becoming a millionaire.

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

NUMBER 11: GO THROUGH THE CARD AT CHELTENHAM (SATURDAY 8TH)

The missus and I are off to Cheltenham on Saturday with my very good friend Matt and his other half Carole in what should be a cracking afternoon of eating, drinking, gambling and good company. I’m planning on going through the card with these……

12.10

It’s not often you see a 3yo hurdler with form from last Season! but Baby Mix ran in a French Novice Hurdle way back in March finishing a creditable 5th. However all looks set for Paul Nicholls’ French import HINTERLAND to continue his winning sequence after his good win in a Grade 2 hurdle at the last Cheltenham meeting.

12.45

Only 7 runners but a tough little race. I’m siding with CHAMPION COURT who ran very well behind Grand Crus last time out and had decent hurdles form last year.

1.20

Outsider of the field OISEAU DE NUIT owes me nothing after his success at the Cheltenham Festival but I fancy him to be in the shake up here even with top-weight. We know he acts on the course, the ground and at the distance and this drop in class could see him run a big race at a big price.

1.55

I’m not too keen on this race and it’s just small stakes for me here on REV IT UP who won nicely under a penalty last time out.

2.30

The big race of the day and my biggest fancy on the card runs in it. MEDERMIT is an old favourite of mine and this looks the right race for him with ground conditions looking perfect. His beating of Captain Chris last February at Sandown over this trip was undoubtedly his best performance over fences and a repeat of that run will make him very hard to beat off his rating of 157.

3.05

Grandouet gets 4lb from  OVERTURN but on this ground I don’t think it’s going to be enough to reel in this incredibly game, consistent and versatile horse. His jumping this season has been fantastic and another all the way win is on the cards.

3.35

Which just leaves me getting out or increasing my winnings for the day on GET ME OUT OF HERE. He’s not the most reliable of horses but he has run some of his best races at Cheltenham and was desperately unlucky not to have won both the Supreme Novices and County Hurdle. He gets a bit of weight from the fancied runners and with McCoy on board I like his chances a lot.

NUMBER 10: THUNDERBALL (WEDNESDAY 7TH)

I’ve tried the Lottery and the Euro Millions to no avail so it’s time to have a go at the Thunderball. The problem here is that the jackpot is only £500,000 so if I want to be a millionaire I’ve either got to win it twice in a week or put £2 on instead. My chances are probably better if I put the same numbers on twice for one draw so that’s what I’ll do.

The odds of winning any prize on the Thunderball is 13-1 with the £1/2 million jackpot odds at just over 8 million to 1. Even matching the 5 main balls is a massive 620,000 - 1 which makes the £5000 prize look positively tight. It doesn’t look a great way of winning any money but here goes anyway.

I’m going to try something a little different for tonights draw. I’m going with consecutive numbers and hoping that the 5 balls that come out are all in sequence i.e. 1-2-3-4-5 or 2-3-4-5-6 or 22-23-24-25-26 or even 35-36-37-38-39. There are 35 ways this could happen and I’ll cover them all twice with number 7 as my Thunderball number. Let’s see how that £70 gets on…….

Chances of making you a millionaire?

Not good as the prizes are fixed and don’t offer any value at all. Odds of 8 million to 1 for the jackpot and all you get is £500,000. That’s terrible especially as it doesn’t rollover if nobody wins it. I doubt tonight is when I become a millionaire.

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

NUMBER 9: ONLINE SLOTS (SUNDAY 4TH)

When I’m in Vegas I love to play the slots. Sitting with a free bottle of Budweiser watching the reels spin for a potential million dollar payout in the greatest city on earth is my idea of a perfect and relaxing way to spend a few hours. It’s just one of those things you have to do while you’re there. So playing online in your own home has never appealed to me and is something I’ve never done before. Until now.

Betfred sent me an email last week telling me that their Beach Life slot machine hasn’t paid the jackpot out for over 6 months and it currently sits at over £3 million (£3, 433, 039 and counting). When it’s finally won it will be an online record for the highest slots payout ever. On average the jackpot is usually won around every 4 months so it’s well overdue to pay out and sounds to good an opportunity to miss…..

That’s the good news, the bad news is that when you actually click on the game to play it you find that the stake per spin is £10. Yep, £10!! To win the jackpot you have to play all 20 lines at the maximum stake of 50p. Yikes! Betfred did offer me a 100% signup bonus to their casino which would in effect make it £5 a spin but wow that’s a bit more than the fruit machine you play down the pub. Oh well, in the spirit of this blog and to save any of you losing any money on the game I’ll flush my £25 down the proverbial toilet. So with Fred matching my £25 I have £50 to play with or 5 spins. This should be quick…….

Spin 1: Stake £10. I got 2 scuba divers on 3 lines and returned £7.50 (-£2.50)
Spin 2: Stake £10. Again, I got 2 scuba divers on 3 lines and returned £7.50 (c/f -£5)
Spin 3: Stake £10. I got my 2 scuba divers again along with assorted icecreams and lollies and somehow got £25 (+£10)
Spin 4: Stake £10. Cola Lollies, Icecreams and a wild symbol in the middle reel all added up to £12.50 (+£12.50)
Spin 5: Stake £10. Nothing (+£2.50)
Spin 6: Stake £10. 3 cola lollies for £5 (-£2.50)
Spin 7: Stake £10. The return of the scuba divers and £10. (-£2.50)
Spin 8: Stake £10. Nothing (-£12.50)
Spin 9: Stake £10. Nothing (-£22.50)
Spin 10: Stake £10. OOOOOOOOOHHHHHH. 3 Jackpot Chests out of 5. Close but nothing back. (-£32.50)
Spin 11. Stake £10. 3 cola lollies=£5 (-£37.50)
Spin 12. Stake £10. Nothing. (-£47.50)

And that’s it. Done my money in little less than 8 minutes including writing the above details for this post. Actual playing time for the 12 spins was around a minute and offered absolutely no excitement whatsoever.

Chances of making you a millionaire?

To play at £10 a go you probably need to be a) mad b) rich or c) both. I’m definitely a) and certainly not C) and I’m now another £47.50 further away from being b). Thanks Fred. I couldn’t even begin to work out the chances of any one player winning the jackpot but it’s millions and millions to one. You have more chance winning the Pools, Euro Millions and National Lottery all in one week.

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

 

NUMBER 8: SCOOP 6 (SATURDAY 3RD)

As the days go by I seem to be getting further away from my goal of being a millionaire. There’s not been much to shout about and I’ve not even managed a tenner on the Lottery in the last 2 weeks. Looks like I’ll have to keep working for the forseeable future. Unless I can pick all 6 winners of today’s Scoop 6 bet…….

 With no winners for quite some time it’s now rolled over to £748,718 in the pool before Saturday’s wagers are added. With the Bonus Fund also not won there should be well over £2million to play for this weekend.

Obviously it’s not going to be easy and there are some very tricky races to navigate but here goes…..

1.25 Sandown

A nice easy 20 runner handicap to kick off with! Also it’s a Pertemps qualifier which means half the field won’t be trying because their trainers will be eyeing up the final at Cheltenham next March. But which half?

It looks as if the Paul Nicholls traine Poungach will start favourite but he doesn’t look brilliantly handicapped to me and has only had 3 runs so far. I prefer the Evan Williams runner DRUMBALOO who has been highly tried throughout his career (he was 8/1 for the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham) and won a Chepstow handicap nicely last time out on his first run for the stable. He should go well off his low weight. I’m also going to throw in CANTLOW who didn’t stay 3m2f last time out at Cheltenham and will be better suited by the conditions here.

2.10 Aintree

A 15 runner chase over the National fences. Blimey they don’t make winning a million very easy do they?

Gary’s all over BALLYVESEY here so that’ll do for me and I’ll add SWING BILL who has been in good form so far this Season. He has form over the fences and should run well.

2.30 Sandown

I really like the look of GIBB RIVER here and with David Bass able to claim 3lb I see him running a big race. I’ll also put Pipe’s ENFANT DE LUNE in as well although I doubt he’ll get a soft lead like he did on his last run.

3.05 Sandown

In the absence of Tataniano it has to be SIZING EUROPE here and he’ll be a welcome banker for my Scoop 6 bet.

3.20 Aintree

FRANKIE FIGG won the race last year and at the weights should again confirm form over Nikola. Everything looks set for a big run from this one. I also like the look of Arthur Moore’s 6yo LINNEL from the bottom of the weights.

3.40 Sandown

If I get this far it will be a miracle and there’s no guarantee that I’ll get any further. The 8 runners range from 4/1 - 12/1 in price and it really shows how tight the race is. Runshaan, Prophet De Guye and Do It For Dalkey have all won their last 2 races by wide margins in eye catching fashion but all have been heavily raised in the weights as a result. Of the three I prefer PROPHET DE GUYE who looked a horse going places when winning at Ascot last time out. I have to put in MEANDUS DANDY in as well after a great 2nd at Wincanton last time out and will also take a chance with ANY CURRENCY despite his year long absence from the track.

To recap;

6 & 16 / 4 & 15 / 2 & 11 / 7 / 6 & 13 / 2 & 4 & 5

That’s 48 bets at £2 for a total outlay of £96. Gulp!

Chances of making you a millionaire?

Probably the best chance you’ll ever have. I’m not saying it’s going to be easy, far from it, but the odds of success are far lower than 1 million to 1 and it’s a must bet with a chance of a big payout for a small outlay.

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

If you get the first few winners your heart will be pumping and even getting 6 placed horses usually pays okay. An all round great bet with life changing opportunities that should give plenty of excitement on a Saturday afternoon.

NUMBER 7: NATIONAL LOTTERY (WEDNESDAY 30TH)

After failing to negotiate the 116 and a half  million to 1 odds of the Euro Millions on both Friday and Tuesday I’ll try my luck with the much easier to win National Lottery where the odds are only around 14 million to 1. Like most of the population I’ve been trying my luck on the Lottery since it began and like most of the population it’s been without any success. I’ve never had more than 4 numbers in any one line and I’ve only managed the 4 about 3 times. I don’t need Mystic Meg to tell me it most certainly hasn’t been me.

Chances of making you a millionaire?

I would imagine it’s easier than winning the pools but that’s not saying much. I read once that if you put your lottery ticket on a couple of days before the draw you are actually 1100 times more likely to die before the numbers are drawn than win the jackpot! It’s a pretty sobering thought and shows how hard it is to win a million. Knowing my luck I’ll get both up in the same week!

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

NUMBER 6: EURO MILLIONS (TUESDAY 29TH)

I’ll have another go at the Euromillions with my £2 line 7-18-23-32-33

NUMBER 5: THE POOLS (MONDAY 28TH)

I have fond memories of the football pools and helping my dad fill in his pools coupon each week when we were growing up. The pools man coming to collect it and then we’d watch the results on World of Sport every Saturday afternoon with Dickie Davies. My dad was always using some new fangled perm he’d invented that covered 30 teams in groups of 3’s or 4’s or whatever he thought was best that week. It always looked a mess with x’s and brackets and instructions written all over the sheet but it was great fun.I don’t ever recall him winning though which was probably due to Littlewoods not being able to understand his coupon.

Times have changed and with the introduction of the lottery the pools has seen a massive decline in interest. The major pools companies have now all merged and you can only play online http://www.footballpools.com/cust.

The classic pools has a £3,000,000 first prize and costs £7.50 for 12 selections, £2.75 for 11 and £1 for 10. Unlike the pools my dad used to play you now how to find 8 games where there is a HIGH scoring draw i.e. 2-2 or higher. It gets worse, as in those 8 games the scores have to add up to 40 goals or more! Blimey that sounds near impossible.

Oh well, in for a penny in for £2.75. After careful analysis of the fixture list (I pressed the Lucky Dip button) I’ve come up with the following 11 matches; Blackburn, Wigan, Blackpool, Peterborough, West Ham, Stafford, St Mirren, Queen Of The South, Ross County, Arbroath and Sterling Albion.

Chances of making you a millionaire?

I’d say you’d have more chance of winning the Lottery jackpot than the pools these days and it’s not hard to see why hardly anyone plays it anymore. You’d have more fun with a fixed odds coupon from your local bookies

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

NUMBER 4: PREMIUM BONDS (SUNDAY 27TH)

A sort of lottery with a chance to win a million pounds every month with the added bonus that if you don’t win you can have your stake back! Sounds too good to be true doesn’t it? Well it is true and it’s been attracting punters by the millions since 1956. In fact 23 million people in the UK hold premium bonds which is roughly 1/3rd of the population.

Prizes are drawn monthly and range from £25 to the magical £1 million. The chances of winning any prize each month is 24,000-1 but obviously the more bonds you hold the better your chance becomes. If you simply have the minimum bond holding of £100 your chances of winning a prize in any 12 months is 3.28% or roughly 33/1. With a £1000 holding your odds increase to 28.3% (roughly 5/2) and with the maximum holding of £30,000 you are pretty much guaranteed to win at least one prize a year as it’s a 96.4% chance (that’s 1/25).

When you send off your application for Premium Bonds you are entered into the draw one month after they receive it so if I send it off now I will just about make the December draw. I won’t therefore win a million before Xmas this way but I can hang on until the New Year!

So there you go. You’d probably make more money by putting your cash in a savings account but you’ll never have the chance to win a million with your cash deposited with Santander.

Chances of making you a millionaire?

Very, very small as the odds are the number of premium bonds held to one. With around £40 billion pounds worth in existence that’s near impossible but as your stake is never lost it does make for a free way to play for a million

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

As you never lose your stake you can’t really class it as gambling. It does seem that you need to hold a lot of Bonds to make it worthwhile and the odds of winning are pretty small but it’s a safe way to dream of millionairedom……

NUMBER 3: FOUR LONGSHOTS IN A LUCKY 15 (SATURDAY 26TH)

Using my William Hill trained bet settling brain I calculate that one 20/1 winner and three 33/1 winners in a £1ew Lucky 15 will give me a shade over a million quid with the 10% Bonus being added. That’s the easy part now let’s do the tricky bit and see if we can find 4 such outsiders…..

Obviously the best place to start would be to ask Gary as these sort of prices are right up his street. He has in fact picked 5 big priced horses today which you can see by clicking on the blog tab above or going here http://nag-nag-nag.co.uk/blogs/

I’m using 3 of them for my bet and adding one of my own to make it a million pound Lucky 15 attempt……

DUNKELLY CASTLE 12.20 NEWBURY
RAVASTREE 1.30 NEWBURY
BILLIE MAGERN 3.10 NEWBURY
CRESCENT ISLAND 3.45 NEWBURY

Chances of making you a millionaire?

Slim to say the least but a few places will still pay nicely.

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

Betting on the horses can be an excellent way to win money gambling but multiple bets are not really the way to do it. It’s a sobering thought that if your first horse loses in a Lucky 15 you lose over 50% of your stake in one go. Ouch!

NUMBER 2: EUROMILLIONS LOTTERY DRAW (FRIDAY 25TH)

I’m not a big fan of the EuroMillions. The £2 cost per ticket is too high and the prizes are distributed poorly with a top heavy payout designed purely for advertising purposes. In fact 32% of the weekly take goes towards the win prize fund which seems scandalous when the odds of  actually hitting the jackpot are a massive 116,531,800 - 1! Would it really matter if you won £10m or £100m? Probably not but I guess it is a chance to join Europes mega-rich if you so wish.

The odds of winning any prize is 13-1.

The game is open to residents in Austria, Belgium, France, Ireland, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg, Monaco, Portugal, Spain, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. For some reason the Germans don’t play it. The French are the biggest spenders followed by Spain and then us.

And if you’d like to know who your £2 entry fee goes to it breaks down like this; Camelot get 1p, operating costs are 9p, 10p goes to the retailer, 24p goes to the Government in duty, 56p goes to the good causes fund and £1 is put into the prize pot.

I’d be happy with the £1m raffle which was introduced in November 2009 to guarantee at least one UK resident would be a millionaire each week. Tonights draw is a Superdraw with 18 first prizes up for grabs. I’ve done a bit of research and it seems the odds of winning the raffle is around 1 in 3,500,000 for a Tuesday and 1 in 9,500,000 for a Friday draw. Even allowing for an increase in activity due to the enhanced chances to win I reckon it’s about a million-1 to win a million quid.

Chances of making you a millionaire?

It’s a longshot but it should be a genuine true odds chance of making me a millionaire.

I’ve had 5 lines at £2 a go. 4 lucky dips and 1 line with my 5 lucky roulette numbers 7-18-23-32-33

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

NUMBER 1:  NATIONAL LOTTERY SCRATCHCARDS (THURSDAY 24TH)

I started my mission this afternoon in Cardiff shopping centre by purchasing 2 scratchcards from the National Lottery stand. A bit sad but apparently 5 people a second win on a scratchcard every day which means the odds of winning something must be pretty decent.

The first one promised a top prize of £40k a year for life which meant that as long as I can avoid the grim reaper for at least another 25 years I’ll get my million. I’m 43 now so I reckon even with my poor diet and lack of regular excercise I must be a shade of odds on to make it to the age of 68. According to the National Lottery website the jackpot prize is still waiting to be won which also increases the chances of actually winning a million - although it doesn’t say how many cards are still unscratched. Still, It could me heh?

Errrrr…. no. After some rigorous scratching I had nothing to show for it except little bits of silver foil all over the table.

The second card was a straight hit for a million. No messing. All or nothing. It was called Instant Millionaire and was pretty much all I needed to know although it was handy to note that the NL Website claim that all 4 jackpots are still to be won (you can’t win something if someone’s beaten you to it).

 

For anyone who’s prone to a bit of scratchcard action you’ll be glad to hear that all 4 jackpots have still to be claimed!

In the 60 or so seconds it took for me to find out I was a loser 300 other people up and down the country were celebrating some sort of scratchcard win. Typical of my luck really……

Chances of making you a millionaire?

Slim to say the least. I have no idea how many cards you would have to scratch before you won the jackpot but it must be 100’s of millions and even their claim of 1 in 3.8 cards wins is misleading as a win can constitute you simply getting your money back. I don’t know about you but when I back a non-runner in the bookies it never feels like I’ve won. I also have to say that it’s the least exciting form of gambling possible. There’s no tension or excitement involved whatsoever. It’s as if you know you’ve lost before you’ve even started scratching. Oh and you get a horrible load of silver filings everywhere as well.

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

It also makes me a little bit further off millionaire status as I’m now in deficit of £10

I’ll be back tomorrow, with a little help from Gary, as we have a crack at 4 big outsiders in a Lucky 15.

Good luck,
Gavin

Hi all,

Unfortunately we lost all 8pts last weekend, although Calgary Bay did run a fine race to be 5th. Today I have gone for a TV Lucky 15, so good luck to all those that have a go with these 4…..

REINDEER DIPPIN 2.10 Haydock 9/1 LADBROKES(7/1 BET365) ran well last time out at Aintree, having put in a few encouraging runs before that. This track and trip looks ideal.

CAPE TRIBULATION 9/1 BET365 took well to chasing last season and had a opener over hurdles here 4 weeks ago where he travelled very strongly for a long way.

VINO GRIEGO 3.05 Ascot 14/1 BET365 ran a blinder at the Cheltenham Festival where he finished 4th, unseated rider when clipping heels last time out.

ALARAZI 3.35 Ascot 20/1 BET365 won Sandowns Imperial Cup last season when beating Via Galilei, hopefully he’ll have come on for his seasonal reappearance 3 weeks ago. R Johnson looks a good booking and at around 20/1 he looks a good solid EW bet.

Good Luck whatever you choose to do today and leave a comment with any hot tips or fancies you have running today

Gary

Hi All, with 2 placed last weekend we made a small 4pt profit taking our total to +64.75pts. Todays racing doesn’t inspire me betting wise, but as a TV spectacle looks superb, as I am a massive Grandouet fan. I’ll start with a word of warning that maybe the tide of luck is achanging as yesterday I had a really good EW bet on an old favorite of mine A NEW STORY. The 20/1 on offer was simply baffling and I duly filled my boots with the kids christmas money. What a farce it turned out to be, in 4th still travelling well, knowing he quickens well up the hill, I was thinking pay day. Then in a blink of an eye it all went horribly wrong, the worst of it wasn’t getting brought down or taking the wrong course like the other 6 horses, but his jockey A Heskins, who in the past I have raved about, actually went to take the right course, only to change his mind and follow the others costing himself a 12 day ban and costing my kids a very merry christmas. Anyway that’s all in the past now and we need to look forward to this afternoons racing and even this has presented me with a major headache you’ll see why in a minute…..

2.30 Cheltenham: I have had one horse in mind for this race all week, available at 33/1 on Tuesday and a top priced 25/1 now, I was pleased with this, but not when I looked through the other races on today, as I found he is double declared and his first preference is Doncaster. The horse in question is Calgary Bay who finished a fine 4th in this race last year and is now 11lb better off with Great Endeavour for being beaten only 6L. I was going to have 2pt ew at 25/1 but with the doubt over him running I have a back up plan and now splitting the stake with my 2nd best Roberto Goldback at 33/1(VC).

3.20 Doncaster: This where the dilemma gets worse for me as I was delighted to see an old favorite of mine running back on a CD over which he was successful 2 seasons ago and even more delighted when I saw he was priced up at 33/1, my delight didn’t last too long though as this is the race that Calgary Bay is intending to run in and just to compound the dilemma Doncaster has a planned inspection for early Saturday morning. The horse in question is Chief Dan George, although his form hasn’t been that great this season he is now on an attractive mark where he is more than capable of winning a race like this.

If you have followed this and understood it all well done

if Calgary Bay runs in 2.30 Chelts..
2.30 C Calgary Bay 25/1 & Roberto Goldback 33/1 1pt ew each
3.20 D Chief Dan George 33/1 1pt ew plus 2 x 0.5pt ew doubles

if Calgary Bay runs in 3.20 Donc..
2.30 C Roberto Goldback 33/1 1pt ew
3.20 D Chief Dan George 1pt ew 33/1 Calgary Bay 2pt win 9/1 Bet365
plus 2 x 0.5pt ew doubles

either way 8pts staked

Good Luck all
Gary.

P.S. Gavin’s at Cheltenham this afternoon and is attempting to go through the card to win a million! Read all about it below…..

I  STILL DO!

Work is still on the agenda and it’s getting busier by the day.

So I’m going to try every route possible between now and Christmas to win myself a million and give up work. Sort of like a fun gambling advent calendar to count down to Christmas here are my 31 ways to win a million……

NUMBER 11: GO THROUGH THE CARD AT CHELTENHAM (SATURDAY 8TH)

The missus and I are off to Cheltenham on Saturday with my very good friend Matt and his other half Carole in what should be a cracking afternoon of eating, drinking, gambling and good company. I’m planning on going through the card with these……

12.10

It’s not often you see a 3yo hurdler with form from last Season! but Baby Mix ran in a French Novice Hurdle way back in March finishing a creditable 5th. However all looks set for Paul Nicholls’ French import HINTERLAND to continue his winning sequence after his good win in a Grade 2 hurdle at the last Cheltenham meeting.

12.45

Only 7 runners but a tough little race. I’m siding with CHAMPION COURT who ran very well behind Grand Crus last time out and had decent hurdles form last year.

1.20

Outsider of the field OISEAU DE NUIT owes me nothing after his success at the Cheltenham Festival but I fancy him to be in the shake up here even with top-weight. We know he acts on the course, the ground and at the distance and this drop in class could see him run a big race at a big price.

1.55

I’m not too keen on this race and it’s just small stakes for me here on REV IT UP who won nicely under a penalty last time out.

2.30

The big race of the day and my biggest fancy on the card runs in it. MEDERMIT is an old favourite of mine and this looks the right race for him with ground conditions looking perfect. His beating of Captain Chris last February at Sandown over this trip was undoubtedly his best performance over fences and a repeat of that run will make him very hard to beat off his rating of 157.

3.05

Grandouet gets 4lb from  OVERTURN but on this ground I don’t think it’s going to be enough to reel in this incredibly game, consistent and versatile horse. His jumping this season has been fantastic and another all the way win is on the cards.

3.35

Which just leaves me getting out or increasing my winnings for the day on GET ME OUT OF HERE. He’s not the most reliable of horses but he has run some of his best races at Cheltenham and was desperately unlucky not to have won both the Supreme Novices and County Hurdle. He gets a bit of weight from the fancied runners and with McCoy on board I like his chances a lot.

NUMBER 10: THUNDERBALL (WEDNESDAY 7TH)

I’ve tried the Lottery and the Euro Millions to no avail so it’s time to have a go at the Thunderball. The problem here is that the jackpot is only £500,000 so if I want to be a millionaire I’ve either got to win it twice in a week or put £2 on instead. My chances are probably better if I put the same numbers on twice for one draw so that’s what I’ll do.

The odds of winning any prize on the Thunderball is 13-1 with the £1/2 million jackpot odds at just over 8 million to 1. Even matching the 5 main balls is a massive 620,000 - 1 which makes the £5000 prize look positively tight. It doesn’t look a great way of winning any money but here goes anyway.

I’m going to try something a little different for tonights draw. I’m going with consecutive numbers and hoping that the 5 balls that come out are all in sequence i.e. 1-2-3-4-5 or 2-3-4-5-6 or 22-23-24-25-26 or even 35-36-37-38-39. There are 35 ways this could happen and I’ll cover them all twice with number 7 as my Thunderball number. Let’s see how that £70 gets on…….

Chances of making you a millionaire?

Not good as the prizes are fixed and don’t offer any value at all. Odds of 8 million to 1 for the jackpot and all you get is £500,000. That’s terrible especially as it doesn’t rollover if nobody wins it. I doubt tonight is when I become a millionaire.

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

NUMBER 9: ONLINE SLOTS (SUNDAY 4TH)

When I’m in Vegas I love to play the slots. Sitting with a free bottle of Budweiser watching the reels spin for a potential million dollar payout in the greatest city on earth is my idea of a perfect and relaxing way to spend a few hours. It’s just one of those things you have to do while you’re there. So playing online in your own home has never appealed to me and is something I’ve never done before. Until now.

Betfred sent me an email last week telling me that their Beach Life slot machine hasn’t paid the jackpot out for over 6 months and it currently sits at over £3 million (£3, 433, 039 and counting). When it’s finally won it will be an online record for the highest slots payout ever. On average the jackpot is usually won around every 4 months so it’s well overdue to pay out and sounds to good an opportunity to miss…..

That’s the good news, the bad news is that when you actually click on the game to play it you find that the stake per spin is £10. Yep, £10!! To win the jackpot you have to play all 20 lines at the maximum stake of 50p. Yikes! Betfred did offer me a 100% signup bonus to their casino which would in effect make it £5 a spin but wow that’s a bit more than the fruit machine you play down the pub. Oh well, in the spirit of this blog and to save any of you losing any money on the game I’ll flush my £25 down the proverbial toilet. So with Fred matching my £25 I have £50 to play with or 5 spins. This should be quick…….

Spin 1: Stake £10. I got 2 scuba divers on 3 lines and returned £7.50 (-£2.50)
Spin 2: Stake £10. Again, I got 2 scuba divers on 3 lines and returned £7.50 (c/f -£5)
Spin 3: Stake £10. I got my 2 scuba divers again along with assorted icecreams and lollies and somehow got £25 (+£10)
Spin 4: Stake £10. Cola Lollies, Icecreams and a wild symbol in the middle reel all added up to £12.50 (+£12.50)
Spin 5: Stake £10. Nothing (+£2.50)
Spin 6: Stake £10. 3 cola lollies for £5 (-£2.50)
Spin 7: Stake £10. The return of the scuba divers and £10. (-£2.50)
Spin 8: Stake £10. Nothing (-£12.50)
Spin 9: Stake £10. Nothing (-£22.50)
Spin 10: Stake £10. OOOOOOOOOHHHHHH. 3 Jackpot Chests out of 5. Close but nothing back. (-£32.50)
Spin 11. Stake £10. 3 cola lollies=£5 (-£37.50)
Spin 12. Stake £10. Nothing. (-£47.50)

And that’s it. Done my money in little less than 8 minutes including writing the above details for this post. Actual playing time for the 12 spins was around a minute and offered absolutely no excitement whatsoever.

Chances of making you a millionaire?

To play at £10 a go you probably need to be a) mad b) rich or c) both. I’m definitely a) and certainly not C) and I’m now another £47.50 further away from being b). Thanks Fred. I couldn’t even begin to work out the chances of any one player winning the jackpot but it’s millions and millions to one. You have more chance winning the Pools, Euro Millions and National Lottery all in one week.

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

 

NUMBER 8: SCOOP 6 (SATURDAY 3RD)

As the days go by I seem to be getting further away from my goal of being a millionaire. There’s not been much to shout about and I’ve not even managed a tenner on the Lottery in the last 2 weeks. Looks like I’ll have to keep working for the forseeable future. Unless I can pick all 6 winners of today’s Scoop 6 bet…….

 With no winners for quite some time it’s now rolled over to £748,718 in the pool before Saturday’s wagers are added. With the Bonus Fund also not won there should be well over £2million to play for this weekend.

Obviously it’s not going to be easy and there are some very tricky races to navigate but here goes…..

1.25 Sandown

A nice easy 20 runner handicap to kick off with! Also it’s a Pertemps qualifier which means half the field won’t be trying because their trainers will be eyeing up the final at Cheltenham next March. But which half?

It looks as if the Paul Nicholls traine Poungach will start favourite but he doesn’t look brilliantly handicapped to me and has only had 3 runs so far. I prefer the Evan Williams runner DRUMBALOO who has been highly tried throughout his career (he was 8/1 for the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham) and won a Chepstow handicap nicely last time out on his first run for the stable. He should go well off his low weight. I’m also going to throw in CANTLOW who didn’t stay 3m2f last time out at Cheltenham and will be better suited by the conditions here.

2.10 Aintree

A 15 runner chase over the National fences. Blimey they don’t make winning a million very easy do they?

Gary’s all over BALLYVESEY here so that’ll do for me and I’ll add SWING BILL who has been in good form so far this Season. He has form over the fences and should run well.

2.30 Sandown

I really like the look of GIBB RIVER here and with David Bass able to claim 3lb I see him running a big race. I’ll also put Pipe’s ENFANT DE LUNE in as well although I doubt he’ll get a soft lead like he did on his last run.

3.05 Sandown

In the absence of Tataniano it has to be SIZING EUROPE here and he’ll be a welcome banker for my Scoop 6 bet.

3.20 Aintree

FRANKIE FIGG won the race last year and at the weights should again confirm form over Nikola. Everything looks set for a big run from this one. I also like the look of Arthur Moore’s 6yo LINNEL from the bottom of the weights.

3.40 Sandown

If I get this far it will be a miracle and there’s no guarantee that I’ll get any further. The 8 runners range from 4/1 - 12/1 in price and it really shows how tight the race is. Runshaan, Prophet De Guye and Do It For Dalkey have all won their last 2 races by wide margins in eye catching fashion but all have been heavily raised in the weights as a result. Of the three I prefer PROPHET DE GUYE who looked a horse going places when winning at Ascot last time out. I have to put in MEANDUS DANDY in as well after a great 2nd at Wincanton last time out and will also take a chance with ANY CURRENCY despite his year long absence from the track.

To recap;

6 & 16 / 4 & 15 / 2 & 11 / 7 / 6 & 13 / 2 & 4 & 5

That’s 48 bets at £2 for a total outlay of £96. Gulp!

Chances of making you a millionaire?

Probably the best chance you’ll ever have. I’m not saying it’s going to be easy, far from it, but the odds of success are far lower than 1 million to 1 and it’s a must bet with a chance of a big payout for a small outlay.

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

If you get the first few winners your heart will be pumping and even getting 6 placed horses usually pays okay. An all round great bet with life changing opportunities that should give plenty of excitement on a Saturday afternoon.

NUMBER 7: NATIONAL LOTTERY (WEDNESDAY 30TH)

After failing to negotiate the 116 and a half  million to 1 odds of the Euro Millions on both Friday and Tuesday I’ll try my luck with the much easier to win National Lottery where the odds are only around 14 million to 1. Like most of the population I’ve been trying my luck on the Lottery since it began and like most of the population it’s been without any success. I’ve never had more than 4 numbers in any one line and I’ve only managed the 4 about 3 times. I don’t need Mystic Meg to tell me it most certainly hasn’t been me.

Chances of making you a millionaire?

I would imagine it’s easier than winning the pools but that’s not saying much. I read once that if you put your lottery ticket on a couple of days before the draw you are actually 1100 times more likely to die before the numbers are drawn than win the jackpot! It’s a pretty sobering thought and shows how hard it is to win a million. Knowing my luck I’ll get both up in the same week!

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

NUMBER 6: EURO MILLIONS (TUESDAY 29TH)

I’ll have another go at the Euromillions with my £2 line 7-18-23-32-33

NUMBER 5: THE POOLS (MONDAY 28TH)

I have fond memories of the football pools and helping my dad fill in his pools coupon each week when we were growing up. The pools man coming to collect it and then we’d watch the results on World of Sport every Saturday afternoon with Dickie Davies. My dad was always using some new fangled perm he’d invented that covered 30 teams in groups of 3’s or 4’s or whatever he thought was best that week. It always looked a mess with x’s and brackets and instructions written all over the sheet but it was great fun.I don’t ever recall him winning though which was probably due to Littlewoods not being able to understand his coupon.

Times have changed and with the introduction of the lottery the pools has seen a massive decline in interest. The major pools companies have now all merged and you can only play online http://www.footballpools.com/cust.

The classic pools has a £3,000,000 first prize and costs £7.50 for 12 selections, £2.75 for 11 and £1 for 10. Unlike the pools my dad used to play you now how to find 8 games where there is a HIGH scoring draw i.e. 2-2 or higher. It gets worse, as in those 8 games the scores have to add up to 40 goals or more! Blimey that sounds near impossible.

Oh well, in for a penny in for £2.75. After careful analysis of the fixture list (I pressed the Lucky Dip button) I’ve come up with the following 11 matches; Blackburn, Wigan, Blackpool, Peterborough, West Ham, Stafford, St Mirren, Queen Of The South, Ross County, Arbroath and Sterling Albion.

Chances of making you a millionaire?

I’d say you’d have more chance of winning the Lottery jackpot than the pools these days and it’s not hard to see why hardly anyone plays it anymore. You’d have more fun with a fixed odds coupon from your local bookies

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

NUMBER 4: PREMIUM BONDS (SUNDAY 27TH)

A sort of lottery with a chance to win a million pounds every month with the added bonus that if you don’t win you can have your stake back! Sounds too good to be true doesn’t it? Well it is true and it’s been attracting punters by the millions since 1956. In fact 23 million people in the UK hold premium bonds which is roughly 1/3rd of the population.

Prizes are drawn monthly and range from £25 to the magical £1 million. The chances of winning any prize each month is 24,000-1 but obviously the more bonds you hold the better your chance becomes. If you simply have the minimum bond holding of £100 your chances of winning a prize in any 12 months is 3.28% or roughly 33/1. With a £1000 holding your odds increase to 28.3% (roughly 5/2) and with the maximum holding of £30,000 you are pretty much guaranteed to win at least one prize a year as it’s a 96.4% chance (that’s 1/25).

When you send off your application for Premium Bonds you are entered into the draw one month after they receive it so if I send it off now I will just about make the December draw. I won’t therefore win a million before Xmas this way but I can hang on until the New Year!

So there you go. You’d probably make more money by putting your cash in a savings account but you’ll never have the chance to win a million with your cash deposited with Santander.

Chances of making you a millionaire?

Very, very small as the odds are the number of premium bonds held to one. With around £40 billion pounds worth in existence that’s near impossible but as your stake is never lost it does make for a free way to play for a million

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

As you never lose your stake you can’t really class it as gambling. It does seem that you need to hold a lot of Bonds to make it worthwhile and the odds of winning are pretty small but it’s a safe way to dream of millionairedom……

NUMBER 3: FOUR LONGSHOTS IN A LUCKY 15 (SATURDAY 26TH)

Using my William Hill trained bet settling brain I calculate that one 20/1 winner and three 33/1 winners in a £1ew Lucky 15 will give me a shade over a million quid with the 10% Bonus being added. That’s the easy part now let’s do the tricky bit and see if we can find 4 such outsiders…..

Obviously the best place to start would be to ask Gary as these sort of prices are right up his street. He has in fact picked 5 big priced horses today which you can see by clicking on the blog tab above or going here http://nag-nag-nag.co.uk/blogs/

I’m using 3 of them for my bet and adding one of my own to make it a million pound Lucky 15 attempt……

DUNKELLY CASTLE 12.20 NEWBURY
RAVASTREE 1.30 NEWBURY
BILLIE MAGERN 3.10 NEWBURY
CRESCENT ISLAND 3.45 NEWBURY

Chances of making you a millionaire?

Slim to say the least but a few places will still pay nicely.

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

Betting on the horses can be an excellent way to win money gambling but multiple bets are not really the way to do it. It’s a sobering thought that if your first horse loses in a Lucky 15 you lose over 50% of your stake in one go. Ouch!

NUMBER 2: EUROMILLIONS LOTTERY DRAW (FRIDAY 25TH)

I’m not a big fan of the EuroMillions. The £2 cost per ticket is too high and the prizes are distributed poorly with a top heavy payout designed purely for advertising purposes. In fact 32% of the weekly take goes towards the win prize fund which seems scandalous when the odds of  actually hitting the jackpot are a massive 116,531,800 - 1! Would it really matter if you won £10m or £100m? Probably not but I guess it is a chance to join Europes mega-rich if you so wish.

The odds of winning any prize is 13-1.

The game is open to residents in Austria, Belgium, France, Ireland, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg, Monaco, Portugal, Spain, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. For some reason the Germans don’t play it. The French are the biggest spenders followed by Spain and then us.

And if you’d like to know who your £2 entry fee goes to it breaks down like this; Camelot get 1p, operating costs are 9p, 10p goes to the retailer, 24p goes to the Government in duty, 56p goes to the good causes fund and £1 is put into the prize pot.

I’d be happy with the £1m raffle which was introduced in November 2009 to guarantee at least one UK resident would be a millionaire each week. Tonights draw is a Superdraw with 18 first prizes up for grabs. I’ve done a bit of research and it seems the odds of winning the raffle is around 1 in 3,500,000 for a Tuesday and 1 in 9,500,000 for a Friday draw. Even allowing for an increase in activity due to the enhanced chances to win I reckon it’s about a million-1 to win a million quid.

Chances of making you a millionaire?

It’s a longshot but it should be a genuine true odds chance of making me a millionaire.

I’ve had 5 lines at £2 a go. 4 lucky dips and 1 line with my 5 lucky roulette numbers 7-18-23-32-33

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

NUMBER 1:  NATIONAL LOTTERY SCRATCHCARDS (THURSDAY 24TH)

I started my mission this afternoon in Cardiff shopping centre by purchasing 2 scratchcards from the National Lottery stand. A bit sad but apparently 5 people a second win on a scratchcard every day which means the odds of winning something must be pretty decent.

The first one promised a top prize of £40k a year for life which meant that as long as I can avoid the grim reaper for at least another 25 years I’ll get my million. I’m 43 now so I reckon even with my poor diet and lack of regular excercise I must be a shade of odds on to make it to the age of 68. According to the National Lottery website the jackpot prize is still waiting to be won which also increases the chances of actually winning a million - although it doesn’t say how many cards are still unscratched. Still, It could me heh?

Errrrr…. no. After some rigorous scratching I had nothing to show for it except little bits of silver foil all over the table.

The second card was a straight hit for a million. No messing. All or nothing. It was called Instant Millionaire and was pretty much all I needed to know although it was handy to note that the NL Website claim that all 4 jackpots are still to be won (you can’t win something if someone’s beaten you to it).

 

For anyone who’s prone to a bit of scratchcard action you’ll be glad to hear that all 4 jackpots have still to be claimed!

In the 60 or so seconds it took for me to find out I was a loser 300 other people up and down the country were celebrating some sort of scratchcard win. Typical of my luck really……

Chances of making you a millionaire?

Slim to say the least. I have no idea how many cards you would have to scratch before you won the jackpot but it must be 100’s of millions and even their claim of 1 in 3.8 cards wins is misleading as a win can constitute you simply getting your money back. I don’t know about you but when I back a non-runner in the bookies it never feels like I’ve won. I also have to say that it’s the least exciting form of gambling possible. There’s no tension or excitement involved whatsoever. It’s as if you know you’ve lost before you’ve even started scratching. Oh and you get a horrible load of silver filings everywhere as well.

Xmas pud rating as a form of gambling (out of 10)

It also makes me a little bit further off millionaire status as I’m now in deficit of £10

I’ll be back tomorrow, with a little help from Gary, as we have a crack at 4 big outsiders in a Lucky 15.

Good luck,
Gavin

Hi All, another profitable weekend last week which saw us have a 50/1 shot running on too late, but got a place and a 20/1 that looked all over the winner from the cross fence only to get caught in the last 50 yds. Very very frustrating stuff, but still another 11.5pts profit that now puts us over 60pts up in the last 8 weeks. Today I have got 4 horses which looks like a nice EW Lucky 15 but one of them is a very strong fancy. Here we go…

2.10 Aintree BALLVESEY 20/1 General. This is my idea of the best bet of the day. I love this race and have had some very good results over the years. We all now know how good Peter Bowen is at training winners at Aintree and in particular over these fences. He has one of my favorite horses running in this race in Always Waining but I think this is just too far for him so I’m going with Mr Bowens other runner Ballyvesey who finished a very gallant 4th in this race last year. He meets the winner from last year on a few lbs better terms and I’m expecting him to run really well.

2.40 Chepstow STOW 20/1 BET365 a real gamble here as his recent form is shocking, but he did win here last year in a real slog and I don’t think the race has that much strength in depth so even under top weight he could surprise.

3.15 Chepstow PLEIN POUVOIR 20/1 BET365 won over CD in February in heavy ground, not run up to that form in subsequent runs, stable now in much better form and a good run is expected.

3.20 Aintree PILGRIMS LANE 20/1 PP,VC & Others. I’m taking a bit of a chance on him liking these fences but if he should handle them ok then 20/1 does look very generous. The trip and ground won’t be a worry and he has got some creditable form in his last couple of runs.

Good Luck All
Gary