Archive for October, 2011

Day 17…

Monday, October 17th, 2011

Monday October 17th:

Win Selection (533578): NO SELECTION

EW Selection (9205153006005309007156506784900)

GREEN PARK 3.10 PONTEFRACT 14/1 WILLIAM HILL

Good Luck
Gary

Day 16

Sunday, October 16th, 2011

Sunday October 16th:

Story so far, we have had 30 ew selections with 2 winners and 4 placed and 5 win selections with no winners and 2 placed. We have staked 65pts and returned 64.75pts. I think the win strike rate for our ew selections is about what I would have expected but the disappointing thing at this halfway stage is that a few more haven’t made the frame, although this week we have been close on a number of occasions including Dudawi Gold yesterday who finished a close 4th at 50/1.

Win Selection (53357): MAGICALMYSTERYTOUR 4.10 BATH 10/1 BET365 & WHILL he’s due a win and has run well on a few occasions this season, his best run was his latest when beaten only just over 1L when 5th.

EW Selection (920515300600530900715650678490): Winners 18/1 & 16/1(R4), 2nd 16/1, 3rd 12/1,14/1 & 25/1
DIAMOND VINE 5.15 BATH 25/1 BET365 & LADBROKES has been running well all season, has course winning form when ridden by todays jockey David Probert. I don’t normally look at 3yo’s in all aged sprints but as we near end of the season I believe the age gaps are leveling out.

Good Luck
Gary

Day 15….

Friday, October 14th, 2011
Saturday October 15th: With all the talk on whips going on everywhere it’s a shame Joe Fanning forgot how to use his as he never hit his mount Insolenceofoffice once during the whole race. He moved him closer 3furlongs out and under tender hands and heels finished 7th which was a drastic improvement on what he had been doing and perhaps one to keep in the note book for the AW.
Saturday sees the best race card you’ll see on British soil, it’s not my favourite type of racing but I have had a go in each of the six races from Ascot and will be having a small bet on each, but without doubt my biggest bet of the day will be in the 7F Apprentice h’cap that wraps up the days racing. I’m going to give Docofthebay another chance as he has everything in his favour, ground, draw, jockey etc. The 28/1 on offer at Corals is huge, but they only pay 1st 4 so maybe Ladbrokes 25/1 1st 5 places makes more appeal. 
Win Selection (533):
TIMES UP 1.50 ASCOT 100/30
BANIMPIRE 3.00 ASCOT 10/1
                               
EW Selection (92051530060053090071565067): Winners 18/1 & 16/1(R4), 2nd 16/1, 3rd 12/1,14/1 & 25/1
GENKI 2.25 ASCOT 16/1
DUBAWI GOLD 3.35 ASCOT 50/1
WIGMORE HALL 4.10 ASCOT 28/1
DOCOFTHEBAY 4.45 ASCOT 28/1
Good Luck as always 
Gary

Day 14

Thursday, October 13th, 2011

Friday October 14th: Not a great pick yesterday, he never got competitive from his wide draw and coasted home in 10th place.

Win Selection (533): NO SELECTION

EW Selection (920515300600530900715650) Winners 18/1 & 16/1(R4), 2nd 16/1, 3rd 12/1, 25/1 & 14/1

SPAVENTO 5.20 HAYDOCK 14/1 does a lot of her work on the bridle. Back down to a winning rating and some solid form on heavy going although both her wins have come on Good/Firm.
INSOLENCEOFOFFICE 5.30 REDCAR 33/1+ this is a real longshot that does take a bit of a leap of faith to back on his current form. His last winning rating was 83 and he runs here of just 60, but that is due to his current form which is less than inspiring. His last 6 runs have seen him finish 8/9, 7/11, 15/19, 8/8, 12/13 & 10/10, but those 6 runs have seen his rating drop 21lbs to a career low mark. His AW form is superior to his turf with a strike rate of 4/11 on AW against 0/10 on turf but he has managed 3 2nd’s and 2 3rd’s in those 10 runs and he has Joe Fanning in the saddle which I think is a very significant booking.

Good Luck as always
Gary

Day 13

Wednesday, October 12th, 2011

Thursday October 13th:

All 3 of our horses ran well today but that doesn’t help us very much as we don’t get paid out on good runs!

Win Selection (533):

EW Selection (92051530060053090071565): Winners 18/1 & 16/1(R4), 2nd 16/1, 3rd 12/1, 25/1 & 14/1
FAULT 4.30 BRIGHTON 25/1 has all important course winning form and is 12lb better off with Mandhooma on their recent course form.

Good Luck All,
Gary

Day 12

Tuesday, October 11th, 2011

Wednesday October 12th:

Terrific Tuesday strikes again, Tartan Gigha won at 7/1 after a very good ride from De Sousa and rewarding us with a lovely profit. William Hills were 16/1 on Monday night (15pR4) but you could get plenty of 14’s earlier on Tuesday morning. This puts us in an overall profit of over 20pts so far.
Win Selection (533): NO SELECTION

EW Selection (92051530360053090071): Winners 18/1 & 16/1(R4), 2nd 16/1, 3rd 12/1 25/1 & 14/1

STYLE AND PANACHE 2.10 NOTTINGHAM 20/1 LADBROKES ran over 6F on Monday at Windsor, this return to 5F much more to his liking and a run like his previous effort at Redcar will see him go very close.
MAKE MY DREAM 2.40 NOTTINGHAM no price yet but hopefully 20/1 or better. Not one to trust but is more than capable and well weighted if in the right mood.
MIRRORED 3.15 NOTTINGHAM 16/1 PADDYPOWER been very consistent of late and maybe not so well handicapped nowadays but 16/1 looks a massive EW price.
Good Luck All
Gary

Day 11

Monday, October 10th, 2011

Tuesday October 11th:

With our selection a NR due to the drying ground, his stable companion and top weight Frognal won the race at an amazing 40/1. Our other selection missed the break and then met a bit of trouble in running, meaning we never really got a run for our money. Lets hope for a little bit of the Tuesday magic we had last week..
Win Selection (533): NO SELECTIONS

EW Selections (920515303600530900): Winner 18/1, 2nd 16/1, 3rd 12/1, 25/1 & 14/1

GO AMWELL 4.20 HUNTINGDON 14/1 PADDY POWER won this race last year off a 1lb lower mark
TARTAN GIGHA 5.40 LEICESTER 16/1 WILLIAM HILL won a handicap last year off a mark of 99 only 12months later he runs here off a rating of just 75, if he retains any of his previous ability this should be a stroll for him, but his recent form hasn’t been encouraging, but I’m more than willing to take 16/1 and a chance.                                                    

Good Luck All
Gary

Day 10

Monday, October 10th, 2011

Monday October 10th: 

After the weekends events we start a new week still slightly ahead (8pts) overall. Lets hope todays 2 runners perform better than yesterdays runners..

Win Selection (533):

EW Selection: (92051530360053090):
CLUMBER PLACE 2.10 YARMOUTH (no betting yet but hoping for 16/1 or better)
MEMPHIS MAN     3.05 WINDSOR  14/1

Good Luck
Gary

P.S. The football team I manage finally won our first game after having lost 5-2, 4-2, 3-0 & 8-1. We won 1-0 and Jacob(my son) scored the winning goal. Dylan’s team Inter Penarth won 4-0 with Dylan scoring all 4 goals.

Day 8 & 9

Friday, October 7th, 2011

 
Saturday October 8th:

Ouch that was painful to watch, Laura Pike getting a great run out of Vainglory to snatch victory. I have lost track of the number of times I have tipped that horse this season!

I’m giving one last chance to Barney Mcgrew, Parisian Pyramid is well treated and has a big chance and Viva Vettori is well overdue a win. At Newmarket with Caspar Netscher a 5/1 chance for the Middle Park I’m dipping my toe into the 2yo world and giving Saigon a chance on the basis he has run against Caspar twice this season beating him by a neck once and then being just beaten by him on his last run. As he is trading around the 20/1 mark he looks value. In the big handicap of the day I have done 2, Pheonix Flight who I mentioned earlier in the week but he has a horrible draw in 31 but my other selection Palomar has a much better draw in 11 and ran a cracker in this race last year.

We have 6 selections from 5 different races today who are all big prices so we need to be realistic about expectations. One winner would be great but a place or two would be nice…
Win Selection (533): NO SELECTION

EW Selections (92051530)

BARNEY MCGREW 25/1 2.20 YORK
PARISIAN PYRAMID 20/1 4.05 YORK
VIVA VETTORI 5.15 YORK (no prices yet)
SAIGON 20/1  2.35 NEWMARKET
PHEONIX FLIGHT 50/1 3.50 NEWMARKET
PALOMAR 33/1 3.50 NEWMARKET
Day 9
Sunday October 9th:

I’m doing these early as I am out all day Saturday and the Football team I manage have an early kick off on Sunday. As a result I don’t know what kind of prices they will be.
EW Selections:
WE HAVE A DREAM 2.35 GOODWOOD
FOLLOW THE FLAG 4.35 GOODWOOD
SALIENT  5.15 GOODWOOD
Good Luck and have a great weekend
Gary

Day 7

Friday, October 7th, 2011

Friday October 7th:

Nothing lost yesterday as our 2 hopefuls were abandoned due to the weather, so we remain about 16pts in profit. I have just the one selection today from York, although Barliffey is running today at Carlisle and should he run to the form he showed at Kelso he has every chance of reversing form with Endeavor. On Saturday there could well be a few selections as I’m very keen on a couple at Newmarket and one from York. I’ll try to get that posted Friday night when I have seen the early prices.

Win Selection (533): NO SELECTION

EW Selection (9205153): HARRISON GEORGE 16/1 BET365

Good Luck
Gary

Day 6

Thursday, October 6th, 2011

Thursday October 6th
No winners yesterday from our 3 runners, but we did manage two 3rd’s, so only a small loss on the day. We remain in a healthy profit and hopefully we can make a few more quid with today’s 2 runners.

Win Selection (533): No Selection

EW Selection (9205153 ):

WHITE DIAMOND 4.10 AYR 16/1 BET365
CLUMBER PLACE 5.40 AYR 16/1 BET365, LADBROKES, WHILL

Good Luck
Gary

Day 5

Tuesday, October 4th, 2011

Wednesday October 5th

Nice one, a last gasp win at the very decent sp of 11/1, there was plenty of 16’s available early on and even 18/1 at VC with a small R4. Let’s hope we can follow that up today with another winner from our 3 selections. If we are playing to either a 1pt win or 1pt ew on each selection, we would be over 16pts up so far.

Win Selection (53): TISLAAM 5.30 NOTTINGHAM 17/2 WH

EW Selection (92051): ILIE NASTASE 8.10 KEMPTON (no early prices yet but hopefully 12/1 or better)
SAIRAAM 9.10 KEMPTON (no early prices yet but hopefully 12/1 or better)

Good Luck
Gary

Tuesday….

Monday, October 3rd, 2011

Day 4 Tuesday October 4th:

We are still looking for that first winner, with both todays selections being badly outpaced early in their races, although Follow The Flag did run on well to finish 5th, I don’t think his winning turn is far away.

Win Selection (53): No Selection
EW Selection (9205): STRIKEMASTER 4.00 CATTERICK 18/1 VC

Good Luck
Gary

PS I have had a small Ante-post on Pheonix Flight at 40/1 1/4 1-2-3-4-5 with Bet365 for Saturdays Cesarewitch

Monday

Monday, October 3rd, 2011

Day 3 Monday October 3rd

Yesterday was a little better with Sole Power flying home too late to grab 3rd and Barliffey running a very good race to reward the EW money with a 2nd at 12/1(plenty of 16’s available early). Hopefully today we can get that illusive first winner, we have two chances but they are both big priced outsiders.

Win Selection (53): No Selection

EW Selection (92):

MAKE MY DREAM 2.50 WARWICK (No Prices at time of writing but hopefully 12/1 or better)
FOLLOW THE FLAG 4.20 WARWICK 25/1 General

Good Luck To All
Gary

Day 2 (Gary)

Sunday, October 2nd, 2011

Day 2 Sunday October 2nd:
   
Not a great start with Genki not getting the race run to suit him and Parisian Pyramid getting well beat by the other PP horse, Pastoral Player (one of Gav’s favourite horses all season, I do hope he escaped the Calender Club long enough to visit Betfred)
 
Win Selection (5): SOLE POWER 12.45 LONG 8/1
 
EW Selection (9): BARLIFFEY 4.25 KELSO (no betting yet, hopefully 16/1 or better)
 
Good luck
Gary