Archive for December, 2009

Last post…….

Tuesday, December 15th, 2009

Dear Readers,

Due to various reasons I’ll be taking a break from blog writing for the forseeable future.
I’m hoping to be back in time for the Cheltenham Festival.

To tie up a few loose ends;

The £100 to a Grand Challenge winner was Mikey S from Kings Lynn and his cheque for £250 has already been received (and spent!).

It’s not too late to enter the Xmas Quiz as I’ll extend the entry date until 1st January. You should know by then all 3 results for the Festival Trends races and whether you feel it’s worth entering or not! Predictably our first runner finished 2nd (after I discarded the wrong one, AGAIN!) but at 8/1 it gives us a nice start. Next up is Kauto Star……..

Before I go I’ll leave you with my 3 wishes for Xmas and the New Year…

1) Mamlook to win a big handicap. It’s running at Ascot on Saturday so that will do nicely but failing that a win at either Cheltenham or Aintree or even the Cesarewitch will do.

2) Kieran Fallon to win the 2010 Jockeys Championship.

3) Henry Cecil to win a 2010 Classic (or two).

Not too much to ask but any one of the three would do.

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And finally, I’d like to wish you all a Merry Xmas and a prosperous New Year.

Good luck,
Gavin.

Xmas Quiz 2009

Tuesday, December 8th, 2009

For anyone who fancies a bit of fun to pass the time away I’ve come up with a little quiz for Xmas with a few prizes for the winners.

10 Gambling/Sport related Questions…..

1) Which were the only two Aiden O’Brien horses to finish in front of Sea The Stars?

2) At what height does a Pony become a Horse?

3) In the latest remake of the James Bond (Daniel Craig) film Casino Royale what was Bond’s final winning poker hand?

4) In the Grand National, what number fence is Bechers Brook?

5) On a single-zero Roulette wheel, which two numbers are either side of the Zero?

6) Which 3 Las Vegas casinos do George Clooney and co. plan to rob in the remake of the film Oceans 11?

7)  What were the six numbers Derren Brown ’successfully’ predicted for the National Lottery on live TV?

8] What is the next number in the sequence….

2004/05 = 95
2005/06 = 91
2006/07 = 89
2007/08 = 87
2008/09 = ?

9) The Columbia Pictures 2008 film ‘21′ about Blackjack card counting was based on which best selling book?

And finally to see who has been paying attention…

10) Who is my favourite racehorse trainer on the flat?

The quiz is open to everyone and is free to enter.

The Prizes….

1st Prize - £5ew Patent on our 3 Ante-Post Festival Trends horses PLUS 1 years free subscription to Festival Trends PLUS Racing Post 2010 Calendar

2nd Prize - £1ew Patent on our 3 Ante-Post Festival Trends horses PLUS Cheltenham Festival Trends Guide PLUS Ch.4 Racing Diary

3rd Prize - Racing Post 2010 Calendar

4th and 5th Prize - Ch. 4 Racing Diary

Answers to xmasquiz@nag-nag-nag.co.uk by Noon December 20th.

Good luck,
Gavin.

4 for today….

Friday, December 4th, 2009

Things have been going well so far this week and hopefully I can continue my run of good fortune into Saturday’s racing. You can read all about it on Monday but until then here are 4 horses that I’ll be backing…….

1.40 Wetherby…
I’m going to take a chance on a previously decent hurdler who couldn’t translate his form to chasing last season but comes here looking very well handicapped. The last time Degas Art ran in a handicap hurdle he was rated 144 whereas he runs here off 123. I’m hoping Howard Johnson has managed to get him back to something like his best so he can take advantage of this lenient looking mark.

2.25 Sandown.
Only 5 runners and no Master Minded but what a cracking race we still have in store. I’m really torn between two and it should be a no bet but you’ve probably worked out already that that isn’t my style! So who’s it going to be? After much debating I’ve decided to go against one of my favourite horses Well Chief to side with Big Zeb. The Irish trained 8yo has looked the real deal when completing the course and as long as his jumping holds up over these tough fences he should be good enough to account for this top class field.

3.00 Sandown.
You may have read in my post on Tuesday that I really fancied Gaspara in a handicap hurdle at Taunton last week. She ran badly then but I’m prepared to give her one more chance because she just looks too well handicapped at present. The last time she ran off a rating anywhere near this low she won a handicap by 6 lengths at the track on heavy ground. She’ll do for me at around 12/1

3.30 Sandown.
The one I like the look of here is the bottom weight Lorum Leader who won a staying handicap very nicely in heavy going at Market Rasen last time out. The trainers horses are in excellent form at present and I’m hoping this one can keep the good run going.

Which should make a nice Lucky 15……

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Festival Trends…

We’re currently working hard to produce a 3 race Ante-Post Xmas Guide on the Boylesports Chase, King George and Welsh Grand National. Hopefully it will be available from next Wednesday.

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£100 to a Grand Challenge….

We’re now down to just 3 contestants after Denman’s win under top-weight last Saturday.
Due to work commitments I haven’t been able to boost the prizefund in recent weeks but, on the plus side, I haven’t managed to lose much of it either! I think the best thing to do is keep the fund at its present level which guarantees the winner will get £250 and should make an enjoyable Christmas for one lucky reader.

For the next round it’s football time and you need to decide whether Liverpool will score more or less than 1.5 goals in their Champions League game vs Fiorentina. Entries by 6pm Wednesday 9th December to the usual email address.

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And finally….

If you’re looking for some more horse race comment and opinion then there’s now a new ‘kid’ on the block.

Kev Lane who does the TTS selections for me and loads them into the ’bot has just started up his own blog which you can read by clicking on the link below….

www.racehorsewhisperer.co.uk

Good luck,
Gavin.

Last week…

Tuesday, December 1st, 2009

The last you heard I had just backed two winners from two on a greedy Monday afternoon mission…

I then managed to go two whole days without having a bet, which is probably some kind of record for me, and given my luck last week it was also  the most profitable two days punting I managed to do.

Thursday…
Of course this abstinence was never going to last and after two days of keeping my powder dry it was time to, erm, get it wet again. First up was £20 on Googoobarabajagal which is about as easy to spell as it is to pronounce. It took me longer to write the slip out than it did to realise that he isn’t the most genuine of horses, giving the race away close home and filling the customary spot of any horse I back, second.
As if to prove a point I left £20ew on Prince Du Beury for the handicap hurdle later on the card and he too threw the race away to give me another second for my collection. I really wish I didn’t back so many seconds.
With my current night time viewing consisting of watching the jungle antics of some not so well known celebrities I was tempted to back Get Me Out of Here in the 3.15 but I decided doing these type of coincidence bets is for suckers. Obviously even suckers have better luck than me as it romped home at 4/1.
My final bet of the day was £20ew on David Pipe’s Gaspara in the handicap hurdle at Taunton. I thought she’d appreciate the drop in class along with her drop in the official ratings and thought she was a certainty for the frame. She didn’t, she didn’t and she wasn’t. At least though it broke my run of seconds. The moral of the post: be careful what you wish for!

Friday….
A couple of decent races at Newbury was enough to tempt me into the bookies during a quick lunch break. 3 x £20ew singles and a £2ew Patent on Bobs Dream, Ainama and Song of Songs. A 3rd, a 4th (paid first 3) and a fifth (paid first 4). Sometimes I really wish I could back more seconds.

On my way home from work I popped into Corals for a ‘fun’ coincidence bet that I noticed was running. £10 ew on The Two G’s in Wolverhamptons 8.20 purely because my brother and I named our betting shops Gee Gee’s Turf Accountants. That proved about as much fun as a trip to the dentist for root canal work and just goes to prove that those kind of bets are for suckers.

On to Saturday…
As I wrote in my post on Saturday this was a historic day for me a few years ago and one that paid for the families best ever trip to Las Vegas. 12 days of luxury and successful punting. My betting during that holiday even gained the attention of the casino pit-boss who proceeded to comp us all free food and drink for our holiday, show tickets to see the magician Lance Burton and 3 nights free accommodation later that year. It was only the Circus Circus but it made me feel like a high roller and it’s the one and only time I’ve come back from Vegas winning. Happy days…

But it’s no use living on one’s memories and there was work to be done to try and repeat the feat. I’d studied the form the night before and come up with my 5 horses. I put exactly the same bet on as I did 3 years ago in exactly the same Betfred shop as I placed my winning wager. Everything was set for a good day.

Who ever first said ‘lightning never strikes twice’ is a smart arse and……. no one likes a smart arse!

What a terrible set of results. Big Bucks was very impressive, Pasco ran well but wasn’t quite good enough, Binocular was simply awful while Killyglen was dissappointing and Horner Wells didn’t seem to appreciate the soft ground. I also had £20ew on Kornati Kid at 33/1 to round off a miserable day.

There was only one thing for it, £60 on Conduit in the Japan Cup. Darn.

There was only two things for it, try my luck on Pokerstars. I entered the $50 rebuy and by the time the tournament entered the final stages I had built up a nice pile of chips. Just 5 places off the money disaster struck when I lost all my chips running my pair of kings into a pair of aces. How did it feel? About the same as having £50ew on a 33/1 shot each way in a big field handicap hurdle and seeing it make a complete horlicks of the last flight before finishing an unlucky 5th. Double darn….

There was only three things for it….go to bed.

Sunday….
My confidence was at rock bottom but I had a horse to get me out of trouble, Washington Irving. Last year Graham Wylie bought him out of Aidan O’Brien’s stable for £300,000 which is a sizeable chunk of cash to pay for a horse to run over hurdles. He was a bit disappointing on the flat although he had managed to finish 5th in New Approach’s Derby. This switch to hurdling in a poor race looked the perfect introduction and I was tempted to have an even £400 to get my money back. Of course I bottled it and settled for an even £100. Never in any doubt it bolted up and was probably the easiest winner this National Hunt season. It was nice to have backed a winner but I was annoyed with myself for not holding my nerve. Oh and Mr Wylie won £3082 for his troubles, only another £296,918 to get his money back. With the Supreme Novices Hurdle being worth £68k to the winner he’s certainly got his work cut out making that investment pay. He must have an understanding wife. I wish I had £300,000 to buy a horse with (and an understanding wife!)….

Monday….
For the third Monday in a row I had a bet, which tells you a lot about me as a punter. £50 on Pipe Banner in the 3.20 Fakenham. It duly obliged and gave Nicky Henderson and Barry Geraghty 4 winners on the card and confirmed him as the most in-form trainer in the country. I wish I was the most in-form punter in the country….

I’ll be back next week for the latest gripping installment of My Punting Woes…..

Good luck,
Gavin.