£100 to a Grand Challenge

Over 400 of you started out in the quest to be the last man standing and after 4 rounds we are now down to just 18 people. One of those 18 will be crowned Nag3 Grand Champion and win the entire Prizefund that I am currently trying to accumulate in the £100 to a Grand challenge.

I haven’t thought what round 5 will be yet but I should have a plan by Monday morning and I’ll reveal all then.

As for the kitty, I had a bit of a setback last weekend with some very poor selections but we’re still well in profit since we started and there’s plenty of time left to get the fund up to the magical £1000. Hopefully I won’t lose the lot before a champion is crowned!

<<<<< You can check out my progress by clicking the link on the left hand side menu.

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Roulette system

I know it’s a bit off subject and a lot of you won’t be interested in Roulette systems but it’s a subject that has fascinated me for ages. At some stage in my Xmas Challenge I hope to try my hand at roulette, although it won’t be until I get a decent enough bankroll to play with, so I thought I’d take a look at some systems that have been touted about including my own little method of playing.

If this isn’t for you then I apologise and I’ll be back on track with some horseracing news from tomorrow. Simply scroll down the post to read news on my latest giveaway. Otherwise read on…..

After Derren Brown’s attempt to win at Roulette bit the dust it just goes to prove that, if even he can’t manipulate the right result, the wheel is truly unbeatable. As Albert Einstein once remarked ‘You cannot beat a roulette table unless you steal money from it’.

But he said that well before the advent of the internet and it should now read ‘You cannot make money from a roulette table unless you sell an online system claiming that you can beat it’

For centuries people have tried, and failed, to find a winning formula for the roulette wheel.  There are plenty of books on the subject and plenty of systems out there and if you type ‘Roulette System’ into Google it brings up over 4 1/2 million pages. None of them work and most cost a LOT of money. Do not be fooled by any of them and certainly do not part with any cash!

More often than not you will end up paying for the ‘infallible’ Martingale system (which we have encountered before on this blog) where you simply keep doubling your stake on red or black until you win. It IS infallible if you have limitless funds, can find a casino willing to take your bet and you don’t mind risking £64,000 to win £1. Otherwise forget it.

A more reliable system and one that will give you a lot of play for your cash is the ‘James Bond’ System…so called because in Ian Flemings book, Casino Royale, James Bond fleeces the casino (again!) by following his usual method of betting on the first two douzaines (1-12 and 13-24). He actually won 1/2 million francs in a matter of spins, nice work if you can get it!

Obviously this is entirely fictional and we all know that Bond never loses but you can adapt this method into a system by implementing the following rules.

1) Select your two ‘dozens’ and place 1 chip on each dozen. Do not change your selected ‘dozens’. Each time you win you get 3 chips back for your 2 chips stake. Keep a note each time you win and of how many spins you have had.
2) Repeat for 100 spins
3) At the end of the 100 spins you check to see how many times you won.

A ‘normal’ session of 100 spins would see you win 64.86% or, roughly, 65 times

So, if you win on 65 or fewer spins you have had a losing session and the number of winning spins is under the standard deviation you would have expected. You simply double your stake for the next 100 spins. If you lose again on the next 100 spins you move to 3x your original stake.

If you won on 66 or more spins you will have had a winning session and the number of winning spins has been over the standard deviation. If you are playing at your original stake you now carry on at that same stake for the next 100 spins otherwise drop down a stake.

It’s very simple and not very expensive to play. You also get a helluva lot of play for your money and get the chance to bet like James Bond (tuxedo and martini’s are optional)!

 Other systems that you might end up paying vast amounts of money for include those that try to cover as many numbers as possible for small stakes. I’ll give you a couple of examples to save you losing your cash….

The four bet: You simply place 1 chip on each of the following - 0,1,2,3 corner / black / 3rd column / 2nd dozen.

This covers all but 5 of the numbers (5,7,25,32,34) and increases your payout on 6 of the numbers (0,1,2,3,15,24).
If the ball lands in one of the 5 ‘bad’ numbers then you double your stake for the next 4 spins.
If you get one of the 6 ‘good’ numbers you revert to your original stake. 

Column colours:On a roulette wheel table layout the numbers are arranged into 3 columns

You can see that the 1st column has 6 red and 6 black numbers, column 2 has 4 red and 8 black numbers and the 3rd column has 4 black and 8 red numbers.

Decide whether you want to play either Red or Black. If you bet Red, also bet an equal amount on the 2nd Column. If you bet Black, also bet an equal amount on the 3rd Column.

You are covering 26 numbers out of 37 at the cost of only two units. That’s covering 18 of a colour plus 8 of the other colour and doubling up the coverage on 4.

When only the correct colour comes up, the bet returns even money so you get the spin for free. When only the Column comes up you make one unit profit. When the Colour and the Column come up you make three units profit.

Basically all these systems are designed to make your money last longer. More than likely you’ll get bored before you find out that the inbuilt house edge % (the dreaded Zero) will get you in the end.

Which brings me on to my own little ’system’. Please, please note this system is not infallible, it will not make you rich and I certainly don’t claim that it will win every time. But…. it is fun, can help you play at the table for a long time and every now and again it will produce some great results. When I play roulette in Vegas I always use this system in an attempt to make my money last longer coupled with the never ending hope of hitting on another good streak….

Firstly, and most importantly, this only works in a bricks and mortar casino with real croupiers spinning the ball. Don’t try it online or on those wretched machines in the bookies or on the automated wheels in casinos as it relies on the fact that certain croupiers will spin to the same section of the wheel time after time (not all of them but some of them).

You need to find a table and wait for a new croupier to come to the wheel before placing your bets. My ’system’ simply involves backing the first 9 numbers the new croupier spins until 5 of these 9 numbers come up again.

Rules

PART 1
1) Place 1 chip on the first number the new croupier spins
2) Place 1 chip on the 1st and 2nd number they spin, then 1st, 2nd and 3rd, and so on until you have 9 numbers
3) If a number comes up again before you have 9 numbers simply ignore that spin (except to take your winnings) and carry on until you have 9 unique numbers
4) If you get to 9 numbers without getting a repeat you will have lost 36 chips (Don’t worry we should get them back!)

PART 2
5) Now you have 9 numbers carry on placing 1 chip on each number until any one of the 9 comes up again. When this happens - take your winnings, take back the chip on the winning number, cross the number off the list and back the remaining 8 numbers.
6) Repeat this until you have crossed off 5 winning numbers and are left with 4 on your list. When this happens you should show a profit and you can either quit or wait for another change of croupier.

Part 3
7) If you are still playing Part 2 after 12 spins then double your stake to 2 chips

Part 4
8] If you are still playing Part 3  after 8 spins then double your stake again to 4 chips
9) If you are still playing Part 4 after another 4 spins GIVE UP! (that’s the part I find the hardest)

Obviously the quicker you are able to cross off the 5 numbers the more you will win and if you can get a repeat before you get your 9 unique numbers this is great as it pays for all your bets in this period. If you go the whole 33 spins without getting one repeat then I’d suggest never playing roulette again as you’re even unluckier than I am. If this unfortunate event occurs you will lose 432 chips. It’s never happened to me before but I’m sure one day it will…….

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Festival Trends Free Offer

Great news for all you Nag3 Blog readers out there as I am going to give everyone who wants it FREE subscription to my National Hunt Festival Trends Guides until January 1st 2010. This offer is for full Membership and will include every NH guide  until the end of the year. That’s Newbury’s Hennesey meeting, Cheltenham’s Murphy’s and Paddy Power Festivals, Kempton’s King George, The Welsh National plus many more.

These guides will sell for between £5 and £10 each but everyone who is reading this blog, or subscribes to TTS, will get them ALL, absolutely FREE. If you’re reading this post today you qualify, simple as that.

I will announce details on how you can claim your free subscription on Monday. (There will be no credit card details needed and no payment taken at any stage). It is completely 100% FREE to all readers and TTS subscribers.

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FRIDAY FUN

I’m sure a lot of you have played 10 Pin Bowling before but I bet you can’t do this…..

Good luck,
Gavin.