Archive for August 20th, 2007

Racing Members Club Review: Jury Still Out…

Monday, August 20th, 2007

Well, dear reader, the first full week’s results are in for Racing Members Club and, after a fantastic week, the weekend has been nothing shy of awful.

Three winners at decent prices from five selections over Saturday and Sunday have taken all of the lustre off an impressive previous five days.

The full results are as follows:


Redc Robbie Scott LOST £19
Wolv Musical Charm LOST £19
Stra Salesin LOST £19
Stra Lusaka De Pembo WON 3.8 -£76
Thir Next Flight LOST £19
Newt Knightsbridge Hill LOST £19
Newt Once A Brownie LOST £19
Muss Radiator Rooney LOST £19
Salis 6 Shavoulin LOST £19
Salis 5 Olympian Odyssey LOST £19
Salis 2 Aphorism LOST £19
Tram 9 The Spoonplayer LOST £19
Folk 9 Red Raptor LOST £19
Tram 2 Lyical Assassin LOST £19
Tram 5 Bennys Quest LOST £19
Bang 6 Englishtown LOST £19
Newb 5 Pippa Greene WON 5 -£100
Tram 7 Santas Son WON 4.3 -£86
Bath 5 Dixieland Boy LOST £19
Tram 5 Lucys Mate WON 8.4 -£168
-£126

16 losers and just four winners (80% strike rate), but the winners came at decent prices, and knocked the stuffing out of good run of losers.

Of course, a week is too short a window to fully and fairly appraise a laying service, which can always take hits in the short term. However, the downside risk of laying 7, 8 or 9/1 shots is often not something that people find palatable. Many of the selections nominated by Racing Members Club are sent off nearer a double digit price than an odds on price.

Another thing with a service such as this (and indeed my own Laying System) is that by just receiving the selections, you cannot vouch for the logic that went into those picks.

[With Laying System, I can tell you that there are a number of factors I look at and, although I only offer a tipster type service, the horses put up by me are based on system criteria, rather than personal sentiment. Although this is sometimes frustrating - when I think one will win, like the other day - I have faith in the overall
ability of the method to find overbet losers].

Ultimately, I have to say the jury is still out on Racing Members Club. I cannot say anything about how they find their lays, and I will continue to monitor with interest how the runners progress. I will not, however, be posting them to the blog any longer.

I’m off down to Dorset this afternoon, where I’ll be spending a couple of days at my father’s hotel (check the link here…), enjoying a touch of R&R.

Happy Monday.
Matt

Monday Musing: Referee!

Monday, August 20th, 2007

Monday, dear reader, already. And what a wet one it is too, at least in this leafy alcove in Hackney.

After a couple of close ones on Saturday (Obe Gold especially), Laying System got its only horse of the day beaten (out of the frame at 7/4) for a good Sunday, following on from four out four turned over on Saturday. In fairness, this was much needed after a couple of decent priced winners in the week set us back a bit.

I chose not to play the footy yesterday, and rightly so. I fancied Manchester United, but they are a big toothless basking shark at the moment, and need to find their stride quickly, before its over for them.

As for Liverpool and Chelsea, the only word I can use for the refereeing performace of Rob Styles is ‘inept’.

In a game with a fair amount of huff and puff, but very little ‘blow your house in’, Styles barely had a decision to make. There wasn’t a bad tackle in the game (though there were a few petulant little kicks), and - happily - there wasn’t a dive in the game.

And yet, this became a card fest, with a fiesta of yellow and a touch of red that would have graced a Madrid derby, arbitrated by one of the Spanish League’s more finnicky middlemen.

After the farce at Fulham on Saturday, I am rapidly revising my opinion of video replays for goalmouth incidents.

The fact is that there is rarely much incident in a game that would require the ‘3rd umpire’ as rugby calls it. In a compelling end to end match, the video might be called for three times. Usually, it would not be required at all.

The main reason for my change of heart is not that I am especially in favour of technology encroaching in the beautiful game (rather, in this case, I am a traditionalist and believe that there should be some mistakes and grey areas to discuss in the pub).

However, there are mistakes and mistakes. The current litany of officiating howlers is unacceptable, and it is only the ineptitude of the men in black that sways me to suggest assistance for them.

Sure, the game is getting faster, and also there is more and more cash at stake, from the fans, from the clubs, and - of course, from us punters.

If I’d backed Liverpool yesterday, I’d be spitting feathers for longer than Rafa ranted.

My biggest worry now is that referees are trying to take their moment in the limelight. The days of a ref having a great game by being virtually anonymous are pretty much over. Step forward then, the cult of the referee ‘personality’.

It started with undoubtedly the best adjudicator of them all, Pierluigi Collina, a man whose bald head and Marty Feldman’esque stary eyes marked him out more for Hollywood bad guy roles than maintainer of the peace.

This guy’s credibility bestowed upon him cult status, as did his looks. Since then though, its been a slippery slope, with first the Spanish refs getting column inches for the issuance of ‘tarjetas’ (or cards as we like to call them), and then Graham Poll (a ref I actually like on balance) having that mare at the World Cup, when he gave one player THREE yellow cards before finally sending him off.

Lest we think its all doom and gloom, we should remember that Poll was only given that game (Australia vs Croatia) - acknowledged as the toughest group game to officiate, by a mile - because he was considered capable.

Indeed, a more satisfactory performance would have put Graham in Poll Position (duh!) for ref’ing the final.

But there are two many mistakes at the moment. Maybe its new season rustiness, maybe its the growing cult of the referee, maybe its just a comedy coincidence. Whatever the reason, it needs to change, and it needs to change very soon.

Until then, high on the cards market may be the play (although historically this has lost more than its gained).

Over in Fantasy Football Land, a better display from my boys saw me amass 56 points this weekend (would have been 60 but for Styles’ ineptitude costing me a clean sheet!).

However, for all of my good score here, I’m currently lounging outside of the UEFA Cup spots in 9th. Runaway early leader is Paddy Meagher’s Kicking Kings, whose team has amassed him 149 points and ranks him in the 5,000s out of 1,196,265 teams overall. A very fine start, Mr Meagher, but are you Wigan in disguise? ;)

Heading the chasers at the moment is ‘thin air’, Paddy being 18 points clear of the next best unit, Irvin Lim’s SmokinTree&Strokin3s (which I presume is a reference to golf, somehow?). Its then a further ten back to Darren Smith, with seven more teams within a further ten points.

A special mention for Danny Edwards’ team, who are currently the strongest in the league (i.e. they prop up everyone else!). Poor Danny has gone for Manchester United players, and has also been unlucky with a few injuries. I’m sure your boys will come good soon.

Back later with a review of Racing Members Club, and the full tale of the tape on that laying service.

Matt